Frequentist properties of Bayesian inequality tests
Abstract
Bayesian and frequentist criteria fundamentally differ, but often posterior and sampling distributions agree asymptotically (e.g., Gaussian with same covariance). For the corresponding single-draw experiment, we characterize the frequentist size of a certain Bayesian hypothesis test of (possibly nonlinear) inequalities. If the null hypothesis is that the (possibly infinite-dimensional) parameter lies in a certain half-space, then the Bayesian test's size is ; if the null hypothesis is a subset of a half-space, then size is above ; and in other cases, size may be above, below, or equal to . Rejection probabilities at certain points in the parameter space are also characterized. Two examples illustrate our results: translog cost function curvature and ordinal distribution relationships.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1607.00393,
title = {Frequentist properties of Bayesian inequality tests},
author = {David M. Kaplan and Longhao Zhuo},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1607.00393},
year = {2024}
}
Comments
This version is the accepted manuscript; published version info below