English

Fitting the BumpHunter test statistic distribution and global p-value estimation

High Energy Physics - Experiment 2022-11-15 v1

Abstract

In high Energy Physics, it is common to look for a localized deviation in data with respect to a given reference. For this task, the well known BumpHunter algorithm allows for a model-independent deviation search with the advantage of estimating a global p-value to account for the Look Elsewhere Effect. However, this method relies on the generation and scan of thousands of pseudo-data histograms sampled from the reference background. Thus, accurately calculating a global significance of 5σ5\sigma requires a lot of computing resources. In order to speed this process and improve the algorithm, we propose in this paper a solution to estimate the global p-value using a more reasonable number of pseudo-data histograms. This method uses a functional form inspired by similar statistical problems to fit the test statistic distribution. We have found that this alternative method allows to evaluate the global significance with a precision about 5% up to the 5σ5\sigma discovery threshold.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2211.07446,
  title  = {Fitting the BumpHunter test statistic distribution and global p-value estimation},
  author = {Louis Vaslin and Samuel Calvet and Vincent Barra and Julien Donini},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2211.07446},
  year   = {2022}
}

Comments

6 pages, 6 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T05:48:57.436Z