Extremes of regularly varying stochastic volatility fields
Abstract
We consider a stationary stochastic volatility field with , where is regularly varying and has lighter tails and is independent of . We make - relative to existing literature - very general assumptions on the dependence structure of both fields. In particular this allows to be non-ergodic, in contrast to the typical assumption that it is i.i.d., and to be given by an infinite moving average. Considering the stochastic volatility field on a (rather general) sequence of increasing index sets, we show the existence and form of a -dependent extremal functional generalizing the classical extremal index. More precisely, conditioned on the field , the extremal functional shows exactly how the extremal clustering of the (conditional) stochastic volatility field is given in terms of the extremal clustering of the regularly varying field and the realization of . Secondly, we construct two different cluster counting processes on a fixed, full-dimensional set with boundary of Lebesgue measure zero: By means of a coordinate-dependent upscaling of subsets, we systematically count the number of relevant clusters with an extreme observation. We show that both cluster processes converge to a Poisson point process with intensity given in terms of the extremal functional.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2301.10113,
title = {Extremes of regularly varying stochastic volatility fields},
author = {Mads Stehr and Anders Rønn-Nielsen},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2301.10113},
year = {2023}
}