English

Extinction probabilities of branching processes with countably infinitely many types

Probability 2014-03-06 v1

Abstract

We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated Galton-Watson processes with finite sets of types and modified progeny generating functions. In addition, we discuss the connection of the convergence norm of the mean progeny matrix with extinction criteria. Finally, we give a sufficient condition for a population to become extinct almost surely even though its population size explodes on the average, which is impossible in a branching process with finitely many types. We conclude with some numerical illustrations for our algorithmic methods.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1211.4129,
  title  = {Extinction probabilities of branching processes with countably infinitely many types},
  author = {Sophie Hautphenne and Guy Latouche and Giang Nguyen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1211.4129},
  year   = {2014}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-21T22:40:06.331Z