English

Estimation methods of Matrix-valued AR model

Statistics Theory 2025-05-22 v1 Machine Learning Statistics Theory

Abstract

This article proposes novel estimation methods for the Matrix Autoregressive (MAR) model, specifically adaptations of the Yule-Walker equations and Burg's method, addressing limitations in existing techniques. The MAR model, by maintaining a matrix structure and requiring significantly fewer parameters than vector autoregressive (VAR) models, offers a parsimonious, yet effective, alternative for high-dimensional time series. Empirical results demonstrate that MAR models estimated via the proposed methods achieve a comparable fit to VAR models across metrics such as MAE and RMSE. These findings underscore the utility of Yule-Walker and Burg-type estimators in constructing efficient and interpretable models for complex temporal data.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2505.15220,
  title  = {Estimation methods of Matrix-valued AR model},
  author = {Kamil Kołodziejski},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.15220},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T02:27:39.219Z