Engineering polarization: How contradictory stimulation systematically undermines political moderation
Abstract
Political moderation, a key attractor in democratic systems, proves highly fragile under realistic information conditions. We develop a stochastic model of opinion dynamics to analyze how noise and differential susceptibility reshape the political spectrum. Extending Marvel et al.'s deterministic framework, we incorporate stochastic media influence and neuropolitically-grounded sensitivity differences (). Analysis reveals the moderate population -- stable in deterministic models -- undergoes catastrophic collapse under stochastic forcing. This occurs through an effective deradicalization asymmetry () that drives conservatives to extinction, eliminating cross-cutting interactions that sustain moderates. The system exhibits a phase transition from multi-stable coexistence to liberal dominance, demonstrating how information flow architecture -- independent of content -- systematically dismantles the political center. Our findings reveal moderation as an emergent property highly vulnerable to stochastic perturbations in complex social systems.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2601.16181,
title = {Engineering polarization: How contradictory stimulation systematically undermines political moderation},
author = {Renato Vieira dos Santos},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.16181},
year = {2026}
}