Endoscopic transfer and the wavefront upper bound conjecture

We verify the local analogue of Jiang's conjecture for the upper bound of the geometric wavefront sets of Arthur type representations of split classical $p$-adic groups with $p\gg 0$, under a certain condition. As a consequence, we also obtain the upper bound conjecture of Kim and the second author, and Hazeltine--Liu--Lo--Shahidi, under the same assumptions. The proof uses Waldspurger's work on the endoscopic transfer supplemented by results of Konno and Varma, as well as the wavefront set computations in the unipotent case by Mason-Brown--Okada and the second author.