English

Demand estimation without outside good shares

Econometrics 2026-02-24 v1

Abstract

The BLP model is the workhorse framework in empirical IO and enables estimation of demand models for differentiated products using aggregate product shares. In practice, however, the share of the outside good is often unobserved. This paper studies identification and inference in the BLP model when the share of the outside good is unobserved. We show that the model is partially identified, and we derive sharp identified sets for structural parameters and equilibrium objects. We also develop inference procedures based on moment inequalities that deliver valid confidence sets for these structural parameters and equilibrium objects.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2602.19154,
  title  = {Demand estimation without outside good shares},
  author = {Federico A. Bugni and Joel L. Horowitz and Linqi Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.19154},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

37 pages, 4 figures

R2 v1 2026-07-01T10:46:13.867Z