English

Computing the variance of a conditional expectation via non-nested Monte Carlo

Computation 2019-12-09 v2 Methodology

Abstract

Computing the variance of a conditional expectation has often been of importance in uncertainty quantification. Sun et al. has introduced an unbiased nested Monte Carlo estimator, which they call 1121\frac{1}{2}-level simulation since the optimal inner-level sample size is bounded as the computational budget increases. In this letter we construct unbiased non-nested Monte Carlo estimators based on the so-called pick-freeze scheme due to Sobol'. An extension of our approach to compute higher order moments of a conditional expectation is also discussed.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1605.05454,
  title  = {Computing the variance of a conditional expectation via non-nested Monte Carlo},
  author = {Takashi Goda},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1605.05454},
  year   = {2019}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-22T14:03:28.526Z