Combinatorial rules for three bases of polynomials

We present combinatorial rules (one theorem and two conjectures) concerning three bases of Z[x1,x2,....]. First, we prove a "splitting" rule for the basis of key polynomials [Demazure '74], thereby establishing a new positivity theorem about them. Second, we introduce an extension of [Kohnert '90]'s "moves" to conjecture the first combinatorial rule for a certain deformation [Lascoux '01] of the key polynomials. Third, we use the same extension to conjecture a new rule for the Grothendieck polynomials [Lascoux-Schutzenberger '82].