English

Batch size selection for variance estimators in MCMC

Statistics Theory 2019-07-18 v3 Computation Statistics Theory

Abstract

We consider batch size selection for a general class of multivariate batch means variance estimators, which are computationally viable for high-dimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations. We derive the asymptotic mean squared error for this class of estimators. Further, we propose a parametric technique for estimating optimal batch sizes and discuss practical issues regarding the estimating process. Vector auto-regressive, Bayesian logistic regression, and Bayesian dynamic space-time examples illustrate the quality of the estimation procedure where the proposed optimal batch sizes outperform current batch size selection methods.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1804.05975,
  title  = {Batch size selection for variance estimators in MCMC},
  author = {Ying Liu and Dootika Vats and James M. Flegal},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1804.05975},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

38 pages, 5 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T01:25:42.466Z