Asymptotics for randomly reinforced urns with random barriers
Abstract
An urn contains black and red balls. Let be the proportion of black balls at time and random barriers. At each time , a ball is drawn. If is black and , then is replaced together with a random number of black balls. If is red and , then is replaced together with a random number of red balls. Otherwise, no additional balls are added, and alone is replaced. In this paper, we assume . Then, under mild conditions, it is shown that for some random variable , and \begin{gather*} D_n:=\sqrt{n}\,(Z_n-Z)\longrightarrow\mathcal{N}(0,\sigma^2)\quad\text{conditionally a.s.} \end{gather*} where is a certain random variance. Almost sure conditional convergence means that \begin{gather*} P\bigl(D_n\in\cdot\mid\mathcal{G}_n\bigr)\overset{weakly}\longrightarrow\mathcal{N}(0,\,\sigma^2)\quad\text{a.s.} \end{gather*} where is a regular version of the conditional distribution of given the past . Thus, in particular, one obtains stably. It is also shown that a.s. and has non-atomic distribution.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1508.06550,
title = {Asymptotics for randomly reinforced urns with random barriers},
author = {Patrizia Berti and Irene Crimaldi and Luca Pratelli and Pietro Rigo},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1508.06550},
year = {2015}
}
Comments
13 pages, submitted