English

An Elementary Analysis of the Probability That a Binomial Random Variable Exceeds Its Expectation

Probability 2018-04-16 v4 Data Structures and Algorithms Machine Learning Neural and Evolutionary Computing

Abstract

We give an elementary proof of the fact that a binomial random variable XX with parameters nn and 0.29/np<10.29/n \le p < 1 with probability at least 1/41/4 strictly exceeds its expectation. We also show that for 1/np<11/n1/n \le p < 1 - 1/n, XX exceeds its expectation by more than one with probability at least 0.03700.0370. Both probabilities approach 1/21/2 when npnp and n(1p)n(1-p) tend to infinity.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1712.00519,
  title  = {An Elementary Analysis of the Probability That a Binomial Random Variable Exceeds Its Expectation},
  author = {Benjamin Doerr},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1712.00519},
  year   = {2018}
}

Comments

v2: Minor change in the presentation of previous works (took into account the new version of Pel[16]). v3: Minor change in the presentation of previous works (the proof of Lemma 6.4 in [RT11] gives a significantly stronger result than what is stated in the Lemma itself). v4: Minor changes (typos, mentioned the work of Slud)

R2 v1 2026-06-22T23:04:14.824Z