English

Accelerated kriging interpolation for real-time grid frequency forecasting

Systems and Control 2026-04-06 v1 Systems and Control

Abstract

The integration of renewable energy sources and distributed generation in the power system calls for fast and reliable predictions of grid dynamics to achieve efficient control and ensure stability. In this work, we present a novel nonparametric data-driven prediction algorithm based on kriging interpolation, which exploits the problem's numerical structure to achieve the required computational efficiency for fast real-time forecasting. Our results enable accurate frequency prediction directly from measurements, achieving sub-second computation times. We validate our findings on a simulated distribution grid case study.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2604.02932,
  title  = {Accelerated kriging interpolation for real-time grid frequency forecasting},
  author = {Carlos Moreno-Blazquez and Filiberto Fele and Teodoro Alamo},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.02932},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

13 pages, 8 figures, 2 tables

R2 v1 2026-07-01T11:52:41.070Z