A spatial template independent component analysis model for subject-level brain network estimation and inference

Independent component analysis is commonly applied to functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data to extract independent components (ICs) representing functional brain networks. While ICA produces reliable group-level estimates, single-subject ICA often produces noisy results. Template ICA (tICA) is a hierarchical ICA model using empirical population priors to produce reliable subject-level IC estimates. However, this and other hierarchical ICA models assume unrealistically that subject effects are spatially independent. Here, we propose spatial template ICA (stICA), which incorporates spatial process priors into tICA. This results in greater estimation efficiency of ICs and subject effects. Additionally, the joint posterior distribution can be used to identify engaged areas using an excursions set approach. By leveraging spatial dependencies and avoiding massive multiple comparisons, stICA has high power to detect true effects. We derive an efficient expectation-maximization algorithm to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters and posterior moments of the latent fields. Based on analysis of simulated data and fMRI data from the Human Connectome Project, we find that stICA produces estimates that are more accurate and reliable than benchmark approaches, and identifies larger and more reliable areas of engagement. The algorithm is quite tractable, achieving convergence within 7 hours in our fMRI analysis.