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The polygonal distributions are a class of distributions that can be defined via the mixture of triangular distributions over the unit interval. The class includes the uniform and trapezoidal distributions, and is an alternative to the beta…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-18 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

We study different fractional extensions of the Poisson process and generalized counting processes by introducing time-change represented by the inverse to the sums of stable and tempered stable subordinators. We state the governing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lyudmyla Sakhno , Artem Storozhuk

An often-cited fact regarding mixing or mixture distributions is that their density functions are able to approximate the density function of any unknown distribution to arbitrary degrees of accuracy, provided that the mixing or mixture…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-03-05 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Inspired by a recent work about distribution frames, the definition of multiplier operator is extended in the rigged Hilbert spaces setting and a study of its main properties is carried on. In particular, conditions for the density of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Rosario Corso , Francesco Tschinke

A general notion of algebraic conditional plausibility measures is defined. Probability measures, ranking functions, possibility measures, and (under the appropriate definitions) sets of probability measures can all be viewed as defining…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-16 Joseph Y. Halpern

We systematically investigate how the choice between Gaussian and uniform likelihood functions in Bayesian inference affects the inferred bulk properties of compact stars and nuclear matter within covariant density functional-based…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-07-04 Jia-Jie Li , Armen Sedrakian

In this pedagogical text aimed at those wanting to start thinking about or brush up on probabilistic inference, I review the rules by which probability distribution functions can (and cannot) be combined. I connect these rules to the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-05-22 David W. Hogg

We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Martin Jankowiak , Jacob Gardner

q-Gaussian distribution appear in many science areas where we can find systems that could be described within a nonextensive framework. Usually, a way to assert that these systems belongs to nonextensive framework is by means of numerical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-21 Wagner S. de Lima , Emerson L. de Santa Helena

In this paper, we consider Bayesian point estimation and predictive density estimation in the binomial case. After presenting preliminary results on these problems, we compare the risk functions of the Bayes estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Yasuyuki Hamura

Challenging research in various fields has driven a wide range of methodological advances in variable selection for regression models with high-dimensional predictors. In comparison, selection of nonlinear functions in models with additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-05 Fabian Scheipl , Thomas Kneib , Ludwig Fahrmeir

The modality is important topic for modelling. Using parametric models is an efficient way when real data set shows trimodality. In this paper we propose a new class of trimodal probability distributions, that is, probability distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-08 Roberto Vila , Victor Serra , Mehmet N. Çankaya , Felipe Quintino

The purpose of this paper is to provide a discussion, with illustrating examples, on Bayesian forecasting for dynamic generalized linear models (DGLMs). Adopting approximate Bayesian analysis, based on conjugate forms and on Bayes linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

In this paper we study Probability Measures (PM) from a functional point of view: we show that PMs can be considered as functionals (generalized functions) that belong to some functional space endowed with an inner product. This approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-08 Alberto Muñoz , Gabriel Martos , Javier González

In this paper we describe a theory of a cumulative distribution function on a space with an order from a probability measure defined in this space. This distribution function plays a similar role to that played in the classical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-12 J. F. Gálvez-Rodríguez , M. A. Sánchez-Granero

I consider two problems in machine learning and statistics: the problem of estimating the joint probability density of a collection of random variables, known as density estimation, and the problem of inferring model parameters when their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 George Papamakarios

In the operator formalism of quantum mechanics, the density operator describes the complete statistics of a quantum state in terms of d^2 independent elements, where d is the number of possible outcomes for a precise measurement of an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-09-30 Holger F. Hofmann

We study distributional similarity measures for the purpose of improving probability estimation for unseen cooccurrences. Our contributions are three-fold: an empirical comparison of a broad range of measures; a classification of similarity…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Lillian Lee

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler