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When performing Monte-Carlo simulations, distributions are sometimes determined only for sub-intervals of the desired total range. In such cases, a frequent problem is to connect, or glue, individual distributions to obtain the final…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-07-19 Peter Werner

A Monte Carlo method to optimize cuts on variables is presented and evaluated. The method gives a much higher signal to noise ratio than does a manual choice of cuts.

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-12-21 Erik Elfgren

Multi-type recurrent events are often encountered in medical applications when two or more different event types could repeatedly occur over an observation period. For example, patients may experience recurrences of multi-type nonmelanoma…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Khaled F. Bedair , Yili Hong , Hussein R. Al-Khalidi

We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-07 Halis Sak , İsmail Başoğlu

In this paper, we develop an expected utility model for the retirement behavior in the decumulation phase of Australian retirees with sequential family status subject to consumption, housing, investment, bequest and government provided…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-30 Johan G. Andreasson , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Alex Novikov

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

In this work we are concerned with valuing optionalities associated to invest or to delay investment in a project when the available information provided to the manager comes from simulated data of cash flows under historical (or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-14 Edgardo Brigatti , Felipe Macias , Max O. Souza , Jorge P. Zubelli

The Diffusion Monte Carlo method is devoted to the computation of electronic ground-state energies of molecules. In this paper, we focus on implementations of this method which consist in exploring the configuration space with a {\bf fixed}…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tony Lelievre , Mohamed El Makrini , Benjamin Jourdain

In this paper, we develop a deep neural network approach to solve a lifetime expected mortality-weighted utility-based model for optimal consumption in the decumulation phase of a defined contribution pension system. We formulate this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-28 Wen Chen , Nicolas Langrené

Machine learning models are commonly applied to human brain imaging datasets in an effort to associate function or structure with behaviour, health, or other individual phenotypes. Such models often rely on low-dimensional maps generated by…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-21 Gregory Kiar , Yohan Chatelain , Ali Salari , Alan C. Evans , Tristan Glatard

The gradual accumulation of damage and dysregulation during the aging of living organisms can be quantified. Even so, the aging process is complex and has multiple interacting physiological scales -- from the molecular to cellular to whole…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-06 Spencer Farrell , Garrett Stubbings , Kenneth Rockwood , Arnold Mitnitski , Andrew Rutenberg

The study deals with the assessment of risk measures for Health Plans in order to assess the Solvency Capital Requirement. For the estimation of the individual health care expenditure for several episode types, we suggest an original…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-19 Fabio Baione , Davide Biancalana , Paolo De Angelis

A hierarchical logistic regression Bayesian model is proposed and implemented in R to model the probability of patient improvement corresponding to any given dosage of a certain drug. RStan is used to obtain samples from the posterior…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-01 Dorsa Mohammadi Arezooji

We discuss the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods in solving continuum radiative transfer problems. The sampling of the radiation field and convergence of dust temperature calculations in the case of optically thick clouds are both studied.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Juvela

We provide an overview of Monte Carlo algorithms based on Markovian stochastic dynamics of interacting and reacting many-particle systems not in thermal equilibrium. These agent-based simulations are an effective way of introducing students…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-24 Mohamed Swailem , Ulrich Dobramysl , Ruslan Mukhamadiarov , Uwe C. Täuber

Most experimental and theoretical studies of adiabatic optimization use stoquastic Hamiltonians, whose ground states are expressible using only real nonnegative amplitudes. This raises a question as to whether classical Monte Carlo methods…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-01 Michael Jarret , Stephen P. Jordan , Brad Lackey

In this paper we study the simultaneous problems of food waste and hunger in the context of the possible solution of food (waste) rescue and redistribution. To this end, we develop an empirical model that can be used in Monte Carlo…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-05-23 Caleb Phillips , Rhonda Hoenigman , Becky Higbee

The use of the Monte Carlo technique in a reliable and inexpensive way without the need for a standard radioactive source in determining the detector efficiency is becoming widespread every passing day. It is important to model the detector…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2023-01-18 Esra Uyar , Zeynep Aybüke Günekbay

The simulation of the expectation of a stochastic quantity E[Y] by Monte Carlo methods is known to be computationally expensive especially if the stochastic quantity or its approximation Y_n is expensive to simulate, e.g., the solution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Annika Lang , Andreas Petersson