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We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

Stochastic fluctuations are central to the understanding of extinction dynamics. In the context of population models they allow for the description of the transition from the vicinity of a non-trivial fixed point of the deterministic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-04 Claudia Cianci , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

The evolution of multiplicity distribution of a species which undergoes chemical reactions can be described with the help of a master equation. We study the master equation for a fixed temperature, because we want to know how fast different…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-01-31 Radka Sochorova , Boris Tomasik

This paper presents a new Bayesian framework for quantifying discretization errors in numerical solutions of ordinary differential equations. By modelling the errors as random variables, we impose a monotonicity constraint on the variances,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Yuto Miyatake , Kaoru Irie , Takeru Matsuda

Fisher's fundamental theorem of natural selection states that the rate of change in a population's mean fitness equals its additive genetic variance in fitness. This implies that mean fitness should not decline in a constant environment,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-18 Yun-Yun Yu , Cang Hui , Tian-Jiao Feng , Cong Li , Chao Wang , Yi Tao , Rui-Wu Wang

We investigate the profound relation between the equations of biological evolution and quantum mechanics by writing a biologically inspired equation for the stochastic dynamics of an ensemble of particles. Interesting behavior is observed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Ginestra Bianconi , Christoph Rahmede

Epidemic disease spreading is conventionally often modelled and analyzed by means of rate and diffusion equations, following the paradigms of well-controlled chemical reactions and diffusive dynamics in a test tube. Yet, serious worries…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-03 Klaus Kroy

We consider a trait-structured population subject to mutation, birth and competition of logistic type, where the number of coexisting types may fluctuate. Applying a limit of rare mutations to this population while keeping the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

A general population evolution model is considered. Any individual of the population is characterized by its score. Certain general conditions are assumed concerning the number of the individuals and their scores. Asymptotic theorems are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 I. Fazekas , Cs. Noszály , A. Perecsényi

This paper introduces a variational formulation of natural selection, paying special attention to the nature of "things" and the way that different "kinds" of "things" are individuated from - and influence - each other. We use the Bayesian…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-05 Karl Friston , Daniel Ari Friedman , Axel Constant , V. Bleu Knight , Thomas Parr , John O. Campbell

Coevolving and competing species or game-theoretic strategies exhibit rich and complex dynamics for which a general theoretical framework based on finite populations is still lacking. Recently, an explicit mean-field description in the form…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

Most of the DNA that composes a complex organism is non-coding and defined as junk. Even the coding part is composed of genes that affect the phenotype differently. Therefore, a random mutation has an effect on the specimen fitness that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-19 Mattia Miotto , Lorenzo Monacelli

This paper investigates the stochastic fluctuations of the number of copies of a given protein in a cell. This problem has already been addressed in the past and closed-form expressions of the mean and variance have been obtained for a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-05 Vincent Fromion , Emanuele Leoncini , Philippe Robert

Molecular phenotypes link genomic information with organismic functions, fitness, and evolution. Quantitative traits are complex phenotypes that depend on multiple genomic loci. In this paper, we study the adaptive evolution of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Torsten Held , Armita Nourmohammad , Michael Lässig

One of the most intriguing questions in evolution is how organisms exhibit suitable phenotypic variation to rapidly adapt in novel selective environments which is crucial for evolvability. Recent work showed that when selective environments…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-28 Kostas Kouvaris , Jeff Clune , Louis Kounios , Markus Brede , Richard A. Watson

Comparative and evolutive ecologists are interested in the distribution of quantitative traits among related species. The classical framework for these distributions consists of a random process running along the branches of a phylogenetic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-24 Paul Bastide , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

In general, cellular phenotypes, as measured by concentrations of cellular components, involve large degrees of freedom. However, recent measurement has demonstrated that phenotypic changes resulting from adaptation and evolution in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-04 Takuya U. Sato , Kunihiko Kaneko

The problem of pattern selection arises when the evolution equations have many solutions, whereas observed patterns constitute a much more restricted set. An approach is advanced for treating the problem of pattern selection by defining the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 V. I. Yukalov

A probability model is presented for the dynamics of mutation-selection balance in a haploid infinite-population infinite-sites setting sufficiently general to cover mutation-driven changes in full age-specific demographic schedules. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 David Steinsaltz , Steven N. Evans , Kenneth W. Wachter

Understanding the time evolution of fragmented animal populations and their habitats, connected by migration, is a problem of both theoretical and practical interest. This paper presents a method for calculating the time evolution of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-04 Anders Eriksson