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Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

Extending the forecasting time is a critical demand for real applications, such as extreme weather early warning and long-term energy consumption planning. This paper studies the long-term forecasting problem of time series. Prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Haixu Wu , Jiehui Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Our knowledge of how individual cells self-organize to form complex multicellular systems is being revolutionized by a data outburst, coming from high-throughput experimental breakthroughs such as single-cell RNA sequencing and spatially…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-20 Gabriel Torregrosa , Jordi Garcia-Ojalvo

Correlation coefficients play a pivotal role in quantifying linear relationships between random variables. Yet, their application to time series data is very challenging due to temporal dependencies. This paper introduces a novel approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Johan Medrano , Abderrahmane Kheddar , Sofiane Ramdani

In two-time-scale stochastic approximation (SA), two iterates are updated at different rates, governed by distinct step sizes, with each update influencing the other. Previous studies have demonstrated that the convergence rates of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Yuze Han , Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

The operating status of power systems is influenced by growing varieties of factors, resulting from the developing sizes and complexity of power systems; in this situation, the modelbased methods need be revisited. A data-driven method, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-07 Xinyi Xu , Xing He , Qian Ai , Robert C. Qiu

The current work is motivated by the need for robust statistical methods for precision medicine; as such, we address the need for statistical methods that provide actionable inference for a single unit at any point in time. We aim to learn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Ivana Malenica , Aurelien Bibaut , Mark J. van der Laan

The use of probe molecules to extract the local dynamical and structural properties of complex dynamical systems is an age-old technique both in simulations and experiments. A lot of important information which is not immediately accessible…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-03-30 Anoop Mutneja , Smarajit Karmakar

We study a class of swarming problems wherein particles evolve dynamically via pairwise interaction potentials and a velocity selection mechanism. We find that the swarming system undergoes various changes of state as a function of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-11 Yao-li Chuang , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Daniel Marthaler , Andrea L. Bertozzi , Lincoln S. Chayes

Activity in neocortex exhibits a range of behaviors, from irregular to temporally precise, and from weakly to strongly correlated. So far there has been no single theoretical framework that could explain all these behaviors, leaving open…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-03 Alexander Lerchner , Peter E. Latham

Atomic-level simulations are widely used to study biomolecules and their dynamics. A common goal in such studies is to compare simulations of a molecular system under several conditions -- for example, with various mutations or bound…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-07 Martin Vögele , Neil J. Thomson , Sang T. Truong , Jasper McAvity , Ulrich Zachariae , Ron O. Dror

Higher order parameters in the hard disk fluid are computed to investigate the number, the life time and size of transient crystal nuclei in the pre-freezing phase. The methodology introduces further neighbor shells bond orientational order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-11-22 Masaharu Isobe , Berni J. Alder

General discrete one-dimensional stochastic models to describe the transport of single molecules along coupled parallel lattices with period $N$ are developed. Theoretical analysis that allows to calculate explicitly the steady-state…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Evgeny B. Stukalin , Anatoly B. Kolomeisky

This article presents an algorithm that allows modeling of biological networks in a qualitative framework with continuous time. Mathematical modeling is used as a systems biology tool to answer biological questions, and more precisely, to…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-30 Gautier Stoll , Eric Viara , Emmanuel Barillot , Laurence Calzone

In a stochastic reaction network setting we consider the problem of tracking the fate of individual molecules. We show that using the classical large volume limit results, we may approximate the dynamics of a single tracked molecule in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Daniele Cappelletti , Grzegorz A. Rempala

A time trajectory of an observable that fluctuates between two values (say, on and off), stemming from some unknown multi-substate kinetic scheme, is the output of many single molecule experiments. Here we show that when all successive…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2010-08-16 Ophir Flomenbom , Joseph Klafter , Attila Szabo

Computing reaction rates in biomolecular systems is a common goal of molecular dynamics simulations. The reactions considered often involve conformational changes in the molecule, either changes in the structure of a protein or the relative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-07-03 Eric Darve , Ernest Ryu

Adaptive behavior, cognition and emotion are the result of a bewildering variety of brain spatiotemporal activity patterns. An important problem in neuroscience is to understand the mechanism by which the human brain's 100 billion neurons…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2011-05-09 Paul Expert , Renaud Lambiotte , Dante R. Chialvo , Kim Christensen , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , David J. Sharp , Federico Turkheimer

Transition path sampling is a rare-event method that estimates state-to-state timecorrelation functions in many-body systems from samples of short trajectories. In this framework, it is proposed to bias the importance function using the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-03-13 Manuel Athènes , Mihai-Cosmin Marinica , Thomas Jourdan

Survival analysis, or time-to-event modelling, is a classical statistical problem that has garnered a lot of interest for its practical use in epidemiology, demographics or actuarial sciences. Recent advances on the subject from the point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Guillaume Ausset , Tom Ciffreo , Francois Portier , Stephan Clémençon , Timothée Papin
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