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We advocate the use of a notion of entropy that reflects the relative abundances of the symbols in an alphabet, as well as the similarities between them. This concept was originally introduced in theoretical ecology to study the diversity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Jose Gallego-Posada , Ankit Vani , Max Schwarzer , Simon Lacoste-Julien

Bayesian network is a complete model for the variables and their relationships, it can be used to answer probabilistic queries about them. A Bayesian network can thus be considered a mechanism for automatically applying Bayes' theorem to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-11-08 Jianguo Ding

The method of maximum entropy is quite a powerful tool to solve the generalized moment problem, which consists of determining the probability density of a random variable X from the knowledge of the expected values of a few functions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Henryk Gzyl

The investigation of the question "which treatment has a causal effect on a target variable?" is of particular relevance in a large number of scientific disciplines. This challenging task becomes even more difficult if not all treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Sergio Hernan Garrido Mejia , Elke Kirschbaum , Dominik Janzing

Information theory is widely accepted as a powerful tool for analyzing complex systems and it has been applied in many disciplines. Recently, some central components of information theory - multivariate information measures - have found…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-30 Nicholas Timme , Wesley Alford , Benjamin Flecker , John M. Beggs

Network analysis is often focused on characterizing the dependencies between network relations and node-level attributes. Potential relationships are typically explored by modeling the network as a function of the nodal attributes or by…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-21 Bailey K. Fosdick , Peter D. Hoff

Network inference, the task of reconstructing interactions in a complex system from experimental observables, is a central yet extremely challenging problem in systems biology. While much progress has been made in the last two decades,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-12 Stephen Y Zhang

We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

We consider situations where data have been collected such that the sampling depends on the outcome of interest and possibly further covariates, as for instance in case-control studies. Graphical models represent assumptions about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-06 Vanessa Didelez , Svend Kreiner , Niels Keiding

Network models are used to study interconnected systems across many physical, biological, and social disciplines. Such models often assume a particular network-generating mechanism, which when fit to data produces estimates of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-17 Ryan E. Langendorf , Matthew G. Burgess

Bayesian belief networks can be used to represent and to reason about complex systems with uncertain, incomplete and conflicting information. Belief networks are graphs encoding and quantifying probabilistic dependence and conditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Carlos Rojas-Guzman , Mark A. Kramer

A central task in analyzing complex dynamics is to determine the loci of information storage and the communication topology of information flows within a system. Over the last decade and a half, diagnostics for the latter have come to be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-20 Ryan G. James , Nix Barnett , James P. Crutchfield

This paper is a review of a particular approach to the method of maximum entropy as a general framework for inference. The discussion emphasizes the pragmatic elements in the derivation. An epistemic notion of information is defined in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-08-04 Ariel Caticha

For the purpose of causal inference we employ a stochastic model of the data generating process, utilizing individual propensity probabilities for the treatment, and also individual and counterfactual prognosis probabilities for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Brian Knaeble , Mehdi Hakim-Hashemi , Mark A. Abramson

Estimating information-theoretic quantities such as entropy and mutual information is central to many problems in statistics and machine learning, but challenging in high dimensions. This paper presents estimators of entropy via inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Feras A. Saad , Marco Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

Research in transportation frequently involve modelling and predicting attributes of events that occur at regular intervals. The event could be arrival of a bus at a bus stop, the volume of a traffic at a particular point, the demand at a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-14 Narayanan U. Edakunni , Aditi Raghunathan , Abhishek Tripathi , John Handley , Fredric Roulland

This study investigates entropy's potential for analyzing scientific research patterns across disciplines. Originating from thermodynamics, entropy now measures uncertainty and diversity in information systems. We examine Shannon Entropy,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-27 Yujie Shi , Alex Jie Yang , Sanhong Deng

In this article the problem of reconstructing the pattern of connection between agents from partial empirical data in a macro-economic model is addressed, given a set of behavioral equations. This systemic point of view puts the focus on…

General Economics · Economics 2019-01-30 Aurélien Hazan

The analysis of practical probabilistic models on the computer demands a convenient representation for the available knowledge and an efficient algorithm to perform inference. An appealing representation is the influence diagram, a network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ross D. Shachter