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Survival analysis concerns the task of predicting the time until an event occurs. Often used in the medical field, survival analysis deals with incomplete (i.e., censored) data, for instance, from patients who did not experience the event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Thalea Schlender , Peter A. N. Bosman , Tanja Alderliesten

BACKGROUND: An important question is whether evolution favors properties such as mutational robustness or evolvability that do not directly benefit any individual, but can influence the course of future evolution. Functionally similar…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-04-16 Jesse D. Bloom , Zhongyi Lu , David Chen , Alpan Raval , Ophelia S. Venturelli , Frances H. Arnold

The evolution of many microbes and pathogens, including circulating viruses such as seasonal influenza, is driven by immune pressure from the host population. In turn, the immune systems of infected populations get updated, chasing viruses…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-01 Jacopo Marchi , Michael Lässig , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Thierry Mora

The design of protocols to suppress the propagation of viral infections is an enduring enterprise, especially hindered by limited knowledge of the mechanisms through which extinction of infection propagation comes about. We here report on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-18 Jose A. Cuesta , Jacobo Aguirre , Jose A. Capitan , Susanna C. Manrubia

Antibodies, an essential part of our immune system, develop through an intricate process to bind a wide array of pathogens. This process involves randomly mutating DNA sequences encoding these antibodies to find variants with improved…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-24 Jean Feng , David A. Shaw , Vladimir N. Minin , Noah Simon , Frederick A. Matsen

Ecology and evolution under changing environments are important in many subfields of biology with implications for medicine. Here, we explore an example: the consequences of fluctuating environments on the emergence of antibiotic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-13 Bryce Morsky , Dervis Can Vural

Previous evolutionary studies demonstrated how evaluating evolving agents in variable environmental conditions enable them to develop solutions that are robust to environmental variation. We demonstrate how the robustness of the agents can…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-05 Nicola Milano , Jônata Tyska Carvalho , Stefano Nolfi

We explore the commonalities between methods for assuring the security of computer systems (cybersecurity) and the mechanisms that have evolved through natural selection to protect vertebrates against pathogens, and how insights derived…

We consider the class of SIS epidemic models in which a large population of individuals chooses whether to adopt protection or to remain unprotected as the epidemic evolves. For a susceptible individual, adopting protection reduces the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-22 Abhisek Satapathi , Narendra Kumar Dhar , Ashish R. Hota , Vaibhav Srivastava

In an attempt to explain the uniqueness of the coding mechanism of living cells as contrasted with multi-species structure of ecosystems we examine two models of individuals with some replicative properties. In the first model the system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Lipowski

Antigenic escape constitutes the main mechanism allowing rapidly evolving viruses to achieve endemicity. Beyond granting immune escape, empirical evidence also suggests that mutations of viruses might increase their inter-host…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-20 David Soriano-Paños

We study a bi-virus susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model in which individuals are either susceptible or infected with one of two virus strains, and consider mutation-driven transitions between strains. The general case of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-03 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Vaibhav Srivastava

Complex adaptive systems have been the subject of much recent attention. It is by now well-established that members (`agents') tend to self-segregate into opposing groups characterized by extreme behavior. However, while different social…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Shahar Hod , Ehud Nakar

The evolutionary dynamics of HIV during the chronic phase of infection is driven by the host immune response and by selective pressures exerted through drug treatment. To understand and model the evolution of HIV quantitatively, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-01 Richard A. Neher , Thomas Leitner

In binary classification applications, conservative decision-making that allows for abstention can be advantageous. To this end, we introduce a novel approach that determines the optimal cutoff interval for risk scores, which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Yishu Wei , Wen-Yee Lee , George Ekow Quaye , Xiaogang Su

We propose a physical theory underlying the temporal evolution of competing virus variants that relies on the existence of (quasi) fixed points capturing the large time scale invariance of the dynamics. To motivate our result we first…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-23 Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Corentin Cot , Adele de Hoffer , Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino , Shahram Vatani

We consider a stochastic model for a pathogen population in the presence of an immune response, in which pathogen types are partially ordered by ancestry and the immune system must eliminate ancestor types before it can eliminate their…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

If two species exhibit different nonlinear responses to a single shared resource, and if each species modifies the resource dynamics such that this favors its competitor, they may stably coexist. This coexistence mechanism, known as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Florian Hartig , Tamara Münkemüller , Karin Johst , Ulf Dieckmann

Background. In a number of recent experiments with food-and-mouth disease virus, a deleterious mutant, was found to avoid extinction and remain in the population for long periods of time. This observation was called quasispecies memory. The…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Claus O. Wilke , Isabel S. Novella

Concomitant with the evolution of biological diversity must have been the evolution of mechanisms that facilitate evolution, due to the essentially infinite complexity of protein sequence space. We describe how evolvability can be an object…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 David J. Earl , Michael W. Deem