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This review presents the set of electricity price models proposed in the literature since the opening of power markets. We focus on price models applied to financial pricing and risk management. We classify these models according to their…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Thomas Deschatre , Olivier Féron , Pierre Gruet

In general it is not clear which kind of information is supposed to be used for calculating the fair value of a contingent claim. Even if the information is specified, it is not guaranteed that the fair value is uniquely determined by the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-01 Gabriel Frahm

We study a class of nonlinear pricing models which involves the feedback effect from the dynamic hedging strategies on the price of asset introduced by Sircar and Papanicolaou. We are first to study the case of a nonlinear demand function…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-08 Ljudmila A. Bordag

We establish an equivalence between two seemingly different theories: one is the traditional axiomatisation of incomplete preferences on horse lotteries based on the mixture independence axiom; the other is the theory of desirable gambles…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Marco Zaffalon , Enrique Miranda

Richard Cox [1] set the axiomatic foundations of probable inference and the algebra of propositions. He showed that consistency within these axioms requires certain rules for updating belief. In this paper we use the analogy between…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ali E. Abbas

This article introduces a new mathematical concept of illiquidity that goes hand in hand with credit risk. The concept is not volume- but constraint-based, i.e., certain assets cannot be shorted and are ineligible as num\'eraire. If those…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Thomas Krabichler , Josef Teichmann

Using simple particle models of limit order markets, we argue that mid-term over-diffusive price behaviour is inherent to the very nature of these markets. Several rules for rate changes are considered. We obtain analytical results for…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Damien Challet , Robin Stinchcombe

The notion of preferences plays an important role in many disciplines including service robotics which is concerned with scenarios in which robots interact with humans. These interactions can be favored by robots taking human preferences…

In this paper, we consider the revealed preferences problem from a learning perspective. Every day, a price vector and a budget is drawn from an unknown distribution, and a rational agent buys his most preferred bundle according to some…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-20 Morteza Zadimoghaddam , Aaron Roth

We investigate, using a recently developed model of liquid state theory describing the rheology of dense granular flows, how a yield stress appears in granular matter at the yielding transition. Our model allows us to predict an analytical…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-12-20 O. Coquand , M. Sperl

This paper investigates the value of recommendations for disseminating economic information, with a focus on frictions resulting from preference heterogeneity. We consider Bayesian expected-payoff maximizers who receive non-strategic…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-02 Jean-Michel Benkert , Armin Schmutzler

In the past decades, advanced probabilistic methods have had significant impact on the field of finance, both in academia and in the financial industry. Conversely, financial questions have stimulated new research directions in probability.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-01 Hans Föllmer , Alexander Schied

We prove the existence of optimal strategies for agents with cumulative prospect theory preferences who trade in a continuous-time illiquid market, transcending known results which pertained only to risk-averse utility maximizers. The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-13 Huy N. Chau , Miklós Rásonyi

We consider methods for aggregating preferences that are based on the resolution of discrete optimization problems. The preferences are represented by arbitrary binary relations (possibly weighted) or incomplete paired comparison matrices.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pavel Chebotarev , Elena Shamis

Inferential models have recently gained in popularity for valid uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we investigate inferential models by exploring relationships between inferential models, fiducial inference, and confidence curves.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig

This paper shows that the fuzzy temporal logic can model figures of thought to describe decision-making behaviors. In order to exemplify, some economic behaviors observed experimentally were modeled from problems of choice containing time,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-18 José Cláudio do Nascimento

Beginning with a simple semantics for propositions, based on counting observations, it is shown that probabilistic and fuzzy logic correspond to two different heuristic assumptions regarding the combination of propositions whose evidence…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Ben Goertzel

In the paper there is studied an optimal saving model in which the interest-rate risk for saving is a fuzzy number. The total utility of consumption is defined by using a concept of possibilistic expected utility. A notion of possibilistic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-04-22 Irina Georgescu , Jani Kinnunen

The preference graph is a combinatorial representation of the structure of a normal-form game. Its nodes are the strategy profiles, with an arc between profiles if they differ in the strategy of a single player, where the orientation…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Oliver Biggar , Iman Shames

Employing a generalized definition of Pratt (1964) and Arrow's (1965, 1971) probability premium, we introduce a new concept of attitude towards probability. We illustrate in a problem of risk sharing that whether attitude towards…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-04 Louis R. Eeckhoudt , Roger J. A. Laeven