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This paper introduces to readers the new concept and methodology of confidence distribution and the modern-day distributional inference in statistics. This discussion should be of interest to people who would like to go into the depth of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Yifan Cui , Min-ge Xie

The field of real numbers being extended as a larger commutative field, we investigate the possibility of defining a scalar product for the distributions of finite discrete support. Then we focus on the most simple possible extension (which…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Philippe Droz-Vincent

Stochastic variational inference makes it possible to approximate posterior distributions induced by large datasets quickly using stochastic optimization. The algorithm relies on the use of fully factorized variational distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-27 Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei

When solving ill-posed inverse problems, one often desires to explore the space of potential solutions rather than be presented with a single plausible reconstruction. Valuable insights into these feasible solutions and their associated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Elias Nehme , Rotem Mulayoff , Tomer Michaeli

The beta distribution is a basic distribution serving several purposes. It is used to model data, and also, as a more flexible version of the uniform distribution, it serves as a prior distribution for a binomial probability. The bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-17 Ingram Olkin , Thomas A. Trikalinos

An advantage of methods that base inference on a posterior distribution is that credible regions are readily obtained. Except in well-specified situations, however, there is no guarantee that such regions will achieve the nominal…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-29 Conrado S. Miranda , Fernando J. Von Zuben

A physical field has an infinite number of degrees of freedom since it has a field value at each location of a continuous space. Therefore, it is impossible to know a field from finite measurements alone and prior information on the field…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-12 Torsten A. Enßlin

Based on the probability distribution observed in complex systems and an assumption that the probability distributions of complex systems satisfy a new generalized multiplication, it is proved that the statistical theory of complex systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Jincan Chen , Tie Liu , Zhifu Huang , Guozhen Su

The prior distribution for the unknown model parameters plays a crucial role in the process of statistical inference based on Bayesian methods. However, specifying suitable priors is often difficult even when detailed prior knowledge is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-18 Marcelo Hartmann , Georgi Agiashvili , Paul Bürkner , Arto Klami

We present a continuation method that entails generating a sequence of transition probability density functions from the prior to the posterior in the context of Bayesian inference for parameter estimation problems. The characterization of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-27 Ben Mansour Dia

The recursive and hierarchical structure of full rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. In most of these cases, the full rooted tree is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-24 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

We study certain polyadicly continuous sequences from point of view the probability theory.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Milan Pasteka

Bivariate partial-sums discrete probability distributions are defined. The question of the existence of a limit distribution for iterated partial summations is solved for finite-support bivariate distributions which satisfy conditions under…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-11 Lívia Leššova , Ján Mačutek

We present distributions of countable models and correspondent structural characteristics of complete theories with continuum many types: for prime models over finite sets relative to Rudin-Keisler preorders, for limit models over types and…

Logic · Mathematics 2012-10-16 Roman A. Popkov , Sergey V. Sudoplatov

Many problems of interest in computer science and information theory can be phrased in terms of a probability distribution over discrete variables associated to the vertices of a large (but finite) sparse graph. In recent years,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-11 Amir Dembo , Andrea Montanari

Max-stable random fields play a central role in modeling extreme value phenomena. We obtain an explicit formula for the conditional probability in general max-linear models, which include a large class of max-stable random fields. As a…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-29 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

Based on cumulative distribution functions, Fourier series expansion and Kolmogorov tests, we present a simple method to display probability densities for data drawn from a continuous distribution. It is often more efficient than using…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2012-01-30 Bernd A. Berg

We consider prediction theory for stationary stochastic processes in continuous time. We discuss prediction using the whole (infinite) past, and using only a finite section of the past. The solutions to both these classical problems have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-17 N. H. Bingham

Three different inferential problems related to a two dimensional categorical data from a Bayesian perspective have been discussed in this article. Conjugate prior distribution with symmetric and asymmetric hyper parameters are considered.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Samyajoy Pal , Christian Heumann , M. Subbiah