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Environmental noise can cause an exponential reduction in the mean time to extinction (MTE) of an isolated population. We study this effect on an example of a stochastic birth-death process with rates modulated by a colored Gaussian noise.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson , Boris Shklovskii

Frequency-dependent selection reflects the interaction between different species as they battle for limited resources in their environment. In a stochastic evolutionary game the species relative fitnesses guides the evolutionary dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Liam Peuckert

We use food webs generated by a model to investigate the effects of deleting species on other species in the web and on the web as a whole. The model incorporates a realistic population dynamics, adaptive foragers and other features which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Christopher Quince , Paul Higgs , Alan McKane

We present novel analytical results about ecosystem species diversity that stem from a proposed coarse grained neutral model based on birth-death processes. The relevance of the problem lies in the urgency for understanding and synthesizing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Samir Suweis , Andrea Rinaldo , Amos Maritan

If evolution can be connected to the principle of least action, and if it is depicted in evolution space versus time then it corresponds to the direction of ultimate causation. As an organism evolves and follows a path of proximate…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-01-06 Clive Edward Neal Sturgess

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

We consider the rates of noise-induced switching between the stable states of dissipative dynamical systems with delay and also the rates of noise-induced extinction, where such systems model population dynamics. We study a class of systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ira B. Schwartz , Lora Billings , Thomas W. Carr , Mark Dykman

The biological requirements for an ecosystem to develop and maintain species diversity are in general unknown. Here we consider a model ecosystem of sessile and mutually excluding organisms competing for space [Mathiesen et al. Phys. Rev.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-10 Namiko Mitarai , Joachim Mathiesen , Kim Sneppen

The dynamics of species' densities depend both on internal and external variables. Internal variables include frequencies of individuals exhibiting different phenotypes or living in different spatial locations. External variables include…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-28 Michel Benaïm , Sebastian J. Schreiber

It is usually believed that Darwin's theory leads to a smooth gradual evolution, so that mass extinctions must be caused by external shocks. However, it has recently been argued that mass extinctions arise from the intrinsic dynamics of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Per Bak , Maya Paczuski

Deterministic evolutionary game dynamics can lead to stable coexistences of different types. Stochasticity, however, drives the loss of such coexistences. This extinction is usually accompanied by population size fluctuations. We…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-11-02 Hye Jin Park , Arne Traulsen

We investigate the temporal evolution and spatial propagation of branching annihilating random walks in one dimension. Depending on the branching and annihilation rates, a few-particle initial state can evolve to a propagating finite…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Daniel ben-Avraham , Francois Leyvraz , Sid Redner

Classical understanding of the outcome of the struggle for existence results in the Darwinian survival of the fittest. Here we show that the situation may be different, more complex and arguably more interesting. Specifically, we show that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-10 Georgy Karev , Faina Berezovskaya

A number of authors have in recent years proposed that the processes of macroevolution may give rise to self-organized critical phenomena which could have a significant effect on the dynamics of ecosystems. In particular it has been…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 M. E. J. Newman

We analyze the influence of long-range correlated (colored) external noise on extinction phase transitions in growth and spreading processes. Uncorrelated environmental noise (i.e., temporal disorder) was recently shown to give rise to an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-15 Alexander H. O. Wada , Matthew Small , Thomas Vojta

Realistic modeling of ecological population dynamics requires spatially explicit descriptions that can take into account spatial heterogeneity as well as long-distance dispersal. Here, we present Monte Carlo simulations and numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-07 R. Juhász , I. A. Kovács

Despite tremendous interest in the topic and decades of research, the origins of the major losses of biodiversity in the history of life on Earth remain elusive. A variety of possible causes for these mass-extinction events have been…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-25 Georg Feulner

If predictions for species extinctions hold, then the `tree of life' today may be quite different to that in (say) 100 years. We describe a technique to quantify how much each species is likely to contribute to future biodiversity, as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Mike Steel , Aki Mimoto , Arne O. Mooers

We consider two species of particles performing random walks in a domain in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with reflecting boundary conditions, which annihilate on contact. In addition, there is a conservation law so that the total number of particles of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Krzysztof Burdzy , Jeremy Quastel

Evolutionary and ecosystem dynamics are often treated as different processes --operating at separate timescales-- even if evidence reveals that rapid evolutionary changes can feed back into ecological interactions. A recent long-term field…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-04 Paula Villa Martín , Jorge Hidalgo , Rafael Rubio de Casas , Miguel A. Muñoz
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