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Related papers: Aftershocks in Coherent-Noise Models

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The relaxation dynamics of aftershocks after large volatility shocks are investigated based on two high-frequency data sets of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC) index. Compared with previous relevant work, we have defined main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Guo-Hua Mu , Wei-Xing Zhou

Recently, simple differential models of aftershocks have attracted increased attention of researchers at the Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences for their remarkable properties. The shortened Bernoulli equation…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-06-22 A. V. Guglielmi

Earthquakes are complex physical processes driven by the stick-slip motion of a sliding fault. After the main quake, a series of aftershocks typically follows. These are loosely defined as events that follow a given event and occur within…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Pinaki Kumar , Roberto Benzi , Jeannot Trampert , Federico Toschi

The fundamentals of the phenomenological theory of aftershocks are presented. The theory contains an original concept of the proper time of the earthquake source, the course of which, generally speaking, differs from the course of world…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-03 A. V. Guglielmi

The presented paper is devoted to the search for mathematical basis for describing the aftershock evolution of strong earthquakes. We consider the experimental facts and heuristic arguments that allow to make a choice and to focus on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-09-24 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

The Omori-Utsu law shows the temporal power-law-like decrease of the frequency of earthquake aftershocks and, interestingly, is found in a variety of complex systems/phenomena exhibiting catastrophes. Now, it may be interpreted as a…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki , Dmitrii A. Tayurskii

The elementary theory of aftershocks, being relatively simple mathematically, belongs to the basics of earthquake physics. The paper briefly outlines the concepts and ideas of the theory, provides equations for the relaxation of the source…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-16 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

We consider a modified Burridge-Knopoff model with a view to understand results of acoustic emission (AE) relevant to earthquakes by adding a dissipative term which mimics bursts of acoustic signals. Interestingly, we find a precursor…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Rumi De , G. Ananthakrishna

The statistical properties of earthquake aftershocks are studied. The scaling relation for the exponents of the Omori law and the power-law calm time distribution (i.e., the interoccurrence time distribution), which is valid if a sequence…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

The inverse Omori law for foreshocks discovered in the 1970s states that the rate of earthquakes prior to a mainshock increases on average as a power law ~ 1/(t_c-t)^p' of the time to the mainshock occurring at t_c. Here, we show that this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette , J. -R. Grasso

Catastrophes of all kinds can be roughly defined as short duration-large amplitude events following and followed by long periods of "ripening". Major earthquakes surely belong to the class of 'catastrophic' events. Because of the space-time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Randall D. Peters , Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau

Numerical simulations and a mean-field analysis of a sandpile model of earthquake aftershocks in 1d, 2d and 3d euclidean lattices determine that the average stress decays in a punctuated fashion after a main shock, with events occurring at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. W. Lee , D. Sornette

The power law of aftershock evolution was proposed by Hirano in 1924 and introduced by Utsu into seismology in the second half of the last century. The Hirano-Utsu law is widely used in studying the relaxation of earthquake source after the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-01 A. V. Guglielmi

We consider a general stochastic branching process, which is relevant to earthquakes as well as to many other systems, and we study the distributions of the total number of offsprings (direct and indirect aftershocks in seismicity) and of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Saichev , A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

The empirical Bath's law states that the average difference in magnitude between a mainshock and its largest aftershock is 1.2, regardless of the mainshock magnitude. Following Vere-Jones [1969] and Console et al. [2003], we show that the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-08-23 Agnes Helmstetter , Didier Sornette

A prominent feature of earthquakes is their empirical laws including memory (clustering) in time and space. Several earthquake forecasting models, like the EpidemicType Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, were developed based on earthquake…

Recently, the physics of aftershocks has been enriched by three new problems. We will conditionally call them dynamic, inverse, and morphological problems. Dynamic problem is to search for the cumulative effect of a round-the-world seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-01-30 Anatol V. Guglielmi , Alexey D. Zavyalov , Oleg D. Zotov

We present two models for estimating the probabilities of future earthquakes in California, to be tested in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The first, time-independent model, modified from Helmstetter et…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 M. J. Werner , A. Helmstetter , D. D. Jackson , Y. Y. Kagan

One of the primitive aims of the two-dimensional BTW model had been to explain the $1/f^{\alpha}$ noise which is widely seen in the natural systems. In this paper we study some time signals, namely the activity inside an avalanche ($x(t)$),…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-29 Z. Moghadam , M. N. Najafi , A. Saber , Z. Ebadi