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We propose a Bayesian, noisy-input, spatial-temporal generalised additive model to examine regional relative sea-level (RSL) changes over time. The model provides probabilistic estimates of component drivers of regional RSL change via the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-26 Maeve Upton , Andrew Parnell , Andrew Kemp , Erica Ashe , Gerard McCarthy , Niamh Cahill

Remote sensing measurements have been an important data source of ocean surface roughness. Scatterometers operating at moderate and high incidence angles provide information on the Bragg resonance spectral components of the ocean surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-27 Paul A. Hwang , Thomas L. Ainsworth , Jeffrey D. Ouellette

We study the statistics of wind-driven open ocean currents. Using the Ekman layer model for the integrated currents, we investigate, analytically and numerically, the relation between the wind distribution and its temporal correlations and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-05-17 Golan Bel , Yosef Ashkenazy

Changes in the strength of the thermohaline overturning circulation are associated, by geostrophy, with changes in the east-west pressure difference across an ocean basin. The tropical-polar density contrast and the east-west pressure…

ao-sci · Physics 2015-06-24 Richard J. Greatbatch , K. Andrew Peterson

The winter climate of the East/Japan Sea (EJS) is strongly affected by the Arctic Oscillation (AO), yet how AO polarity reshapes the memory, coupling patterns, and predictability of sea-surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) remains poorly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-12 Gyuchang Lim , JongJin Park

Satellite altimetry is a unique way for direct observations of sea surface dynamics. This is however limited to the surface-constrained geostrophic component of sea surface velocities. Ageostrophic dynamics are however expected to be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-09 Ronan Fablet , Bertrand Chapron , Julien Le Sommer , Florian Sévellec

This paper presents a combined ocean and oil model for adaptive placement of sensors in the immediate aftermath of oilspills. A key feature of this model is the ability to correct its predictions of spill location using continual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-13 Zak Hodgson , David Browne , Inaki Esnaola , Bryn Jones

The long-term relationship between radiative forcing and surface temperature is imperative for predicting the impacts of climate change. This study employs multicointegration to characterize this relationship and uses Transformed and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-17 Justin Sun

A simple analytical model is developed for the current induced by the wind and modified by surface wind-waves in the oceanic surface layer, based on a first-order turbulence closure and including the effect of a vortex force representing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-12-05 Miguel A. C. Teixeira

Spatially correlated noise (SCN), i.e. the thermal noise that affects neighbouring particles in a similar manner, is ubiquitous in soft matter systems. In this work, we apply the over-damped SCN-driven Langevin equations as an effective,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-12-30 M. Majka , P. F. Góra

We consider a highly idealized model for El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability, as introduced in an earlier paper. The model is governed by a delay differential equation for sea surface temperature in the Tropical Pacific, and it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-01-13 Ilya Zaliapin , Michael Ghil

We analyze the effects of additive, spatially extended noise on spatiotemporal patterns in continuum neural fields. Our main focus is how fluctuations impact patterns when they are weakly coupled to an external stimulus or another…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-08 Paul C. Bressloff , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

Conventional and recently developed approaches for estimating turbulent scalar fluxes under stable conditions are evaluated. The focus is on methods that do not require fast scalar sensors such as the relaxed eddy accumulation (REA)…

Along-track wavenumber spectral densities of sea surface height (SSH) are estimated from Jason-2 altimetry data as a function of spatial location and calendar month, to understand the seasonality of meso- and submesoscale balanced dynamics…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-14 Albion Lawrence , Jörn Callies

A model is proposed to explain the observed correlation between monthly fluctuations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations and temperatures. The model relies on the oceans being in a temperature-dependent equilibrium with the atmosphere. When…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-22 Francois Ouellette

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a fundamental physical parameter characterising the thermal state of sea surface. Due to the intricate thermal interactions between land, sea, and atmosphere, the spatial gradients of SST in coastal waters…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-14 Yiqing Guo , Nagur Cherukuru , Eric Lehmann , Xiubin Qi , Mark Doubelld , S. L. Kesav Unnithan , Ming Feng

The adjoint method is a popular method used for seismic (full-waveform) inversion today. The method is considered to give more realistic and detailed images of the interior of the Earth by the use of more realistic physics. It relies on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-28 Rafael Abreu

The Global Overturning Circulation (GOC) is a key component of the climate system, transporting heat, carbon, and salt throughout the global ocean. Previous reduced-dimensional models have sought to represent this three-dimensional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-23 Elian Vanderborght , Henk A. Dijkstra

A flexible spatio-temporal model is implemented to analyse extreme extra-tropical cyclones objectively identified over the Atlantic and Europe in 6-hourly re-analyses from 1979-2009. Spatial variation in the extremal properties of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Theodoros Economou , David B. Stephenson , Christopher A. T. Ferro

Stochastic thermodynamics (ST) for delayed Langevin systems are discussed. By using the general principles of ST, the first-law-like energy balance and trajectory-dependent entropy s(t) can be well-defined in a similar way as that in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-28 Huijun Jiang , Tiejun Xiao , Zhonghuai Hou
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