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Conventional Monte Carlo simulations are stochastic in the sense that the acceptance of a trial move is decided by comparing a computed acceptance probability with a random number, uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Here we consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-24 Daan Frenkel , K. Julian Schrenk , Stefano Martiniani

In some fields of applications of stable distributions, especially in economics, it appears, that data have distributions similar to stable in a large region, but do not have such heavy tails. Our aim in this note is to propose several…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Lenka Slámová , Lev B. Klebanov

An algorithm for sampling exactly from the normal distribution is given. The algorithm reads some number of uniformly distributed random digits in a given base and generates an initial portion of the representation of a normal deviate in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-02-01 Charles F. F. Karney

When testing a statistical hypothesis, is it legitimate to deliberate on the basis of initial data about whether and how to collect further data? Game-theoretic probability's fundamental principle for testing by betting says yes, provided…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Glenn Shafer

A decision must often be made between heavy-tailed and Gaussian errors for a regression or a time series model, and the t-distribution is frequently used when it is assumed that the errors are heavy-tailed distributed. The performance of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-11 J. Martin van Zyl

Physics is based on probabilities as fundamental entities of a mathematical description. Expectation values of observables are computed according to the classical statistical rule. The overall probability distribution for one world covers…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-28 C. Wetterich

In this paper, we consider several efficient data structures for the problem of sampling from a dynamically changing discrete probability distribution, where some prior information is known on the distribution of the rates, in particular…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Federico D'Ambrosio , Hans L. Bodlaender , Gerard T. Barkema

The aim of a probabilistic output analysis is to derive a probability distribution of possible output values for a program from a probability distribution of its input. We present a method for performing static output analysis, based on…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2015-09-30 Mads Rosendahl , Maja H. Kirkeby

The law of likelihood underlies a general framework, known as the likelihood paradigm, for representing and interpreting statistical evidence. As stated, the law applies only to simple hypotheses, and there have been reservations about…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Zhiwei Zhang

In recent years, ideas from statistics and scientific computing have begun to interact in increasingly sophisticated and fruitful ways with ideas from computer science and the theory of algorithms to aid in the development of improved…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-10-11 Michael W. Mahoney

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using It\^o's formula and on a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Yoichi Nishiyama

Least-squares data analysis is based on the assumption that the normal (Gaussian) distribution appropriately characterizes the likelihood, that is, the conditional probability of each measurement d, given a measured quantity y, p(d | y). On…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2009-11-13 Kenneth M. Hanson

A new method for analyzing the morphological features of point patterns is presented. The method is taken from the study of molecular liquids, where it has been introduced for making a statistical description of anisotropic distributions.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Valdarnini

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

This paper analyzes the working or default assumptions researchers in the formal, statistical, and case study traditions typically hold regarding the sources of unexplained variance, the meaning of outliers, parameter values, human…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-17 Andrew Bennett , Bear F. Braumoeller

We formulate the statistics of the discrete multicomponent fragmentation event using a methodology borrowed from statistical mechanics. We generate the ensemble of all feasible distributions that can be formed when a single integer…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-03 Themis Matsoukas

In almost every scientific field, an experiment involves collecting data and then analysing it. The analysis stage will often consist in trying to extract some physical parameter and estimating its uncertainty; this is known as Parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 Louis Lyons

Statistical mechanics is generalized on the basis of an additive information theory for incomplete probability distributions. The incomplete normalization $\sum_{i=1}^wp_i^q=1$ is used to obtain generalized entropy $S=-k\sum_{i=1}^wp_i^q\ln…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Qiuping A. Wang

Mathematical formulations and proofs for a wavelet based statistic employed in functional data analysis is elaborately discussed in this report. The propositions and derivations discussed here apply to a wavelet based statistic with hard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-13 Senthil B. Girimurugan , Eric Chicken

We analyze here in details the probability to find a given number of particles in a finite volume inside a normal or superfluid finite system. This probability, also known as counting statistics, is obtained using projection operator…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-01-22 Denis Lacroix , Sakir Ayik