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There is growing interest in data-driven weather prediction (DDWP), for example using convolutional neural networks such as U-NETs that are trained on data from models or reanalysis. Here, we propose 3 components to integrate with commonly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Mustafa Mustafa , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Eviatar Bach , Karthik Kashinath

Accurate and efficient global ocean state estimation remains a grand challenge for Earth system science, hindered by the dual bottlenecks of computational scalability and degraded data fidelity in traditional data assimilation (DA) and deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Yanfei Xiang , Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Quan Zhang , Ruiqi Shu , Xiao Zhou , Xi Wu , Xiaomeng Huang

The prediction of solar flares is still a significant challenge in space weather research, with no techniques currently capable of producing reliable forecasts performing significantly above climatology. In this paper, we present a flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-12 Christian Thibeault , Antoine Strugarek , Paul Charbonneau , Benoit Tremblay

As wind farms continue to grow in size, mesoscale effects such as blockage and gravity waves become increasingly important. Allaerts & Meyers (J. Fluid Mech., 2019) proposed an atmospheric perturbation model (APM) that can simulate the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-31 Koen Devesse , Luca Lanzilao , Johan Meyers

Stochastic wind sea is an intermediate small-scale physical process responsible for the state of the atmospheric boundary layer and the water upper layer, having dynamics of all scales. To describe behavior of this system, one could use the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-09-13 Vladislav Polnikov

We show how the 3DVAR data assimilation methodology can be used in the astrophysical context of a two-dimensional convection flow. We study the way this variational approach finds best estimates of the current state of the flow from a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-08-09 Andreas Svedin , Milena C. Cuellar , Axel Brandenburg

This work focuses on the validation of the dynamic wake meandering (DWM) model against large eddy simulation (LES). The wake deficit, mean deflection, and meandering under different wind turbine misalignment angles in yaw and tilt, for the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-03 Irene Rivera-Arreba , Zhaobin Li , Xiaolei Yang , Erin E. Bachynski-Polić

The proper determination of soil moisture on different scales is important for applications in a variety of fields. We aim to develop a high-level soil moisture product with high temporal and spatial resolution by assimilating the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-04-21 J. Vural , S. Schneider , B. Bauer-Marschallinger , K. Haslinger

The NEMO general circulation ocean model is extended to incorporate three physical processes related to ocean surface waves, namely the surface stress (modified by growth and dissipation of the oceanic wave field), the turbulent kinetic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-04-08 Øyvind Breivik , Kristian Mogensen , Jean-Raymond Bidlot , Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda , Peter A. E. M. Janssen

Offshore renewable energy systems offer promising solutions for sustainable power generation, yet most existing platforms harvest either wind or wave energy in isolation. This study presents a hybrid floating offshore platform that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Saeid Bayat , Jerry Zuo , Jing Sun

Data assimilation combines forecasts from a numerical model with observations. Most of the current data assimilation algorithms consider the model and observation error terms as additive Gaussian noise, specified by their covariance…

Recent advancements in evaluating matrix-exponential functions have opened the doors to the practical use of exponential time-integration methods in numerical weather prediction (NWP). The success of exponential methods in shallow water…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-19 Greg Rainwater , Kevin C. Viner , P. Alex Reinecke

Chaos is ubiquitous in physical systems. The associated sensitivity to initial conditions is a significant obstacle in forecasting the weather and other geophysical fluid flows. Data assimilation is the process whereby the uncertainty in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-03 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Jonathan Demaeyer , Colin Grudzien , Patrick Raanes , Stephane Vannitsem

We develop and compare model-error representation schemes derived from data assimilation increments and nudging tendencies in multi-decadal simulations of the community atmosphere model, version 6. Each scheme applies a bias correction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-30 William E. Chapman , Judith Berner

Offshore wind is rapidly expanding to meet clean and secure energy needs. New developments are now increasingly constrained to deep seasonally stratified waters. Here, flows past offshore wind infrastructure will increase water column…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-12 Charlie J. Lloyd , Robert M. Dorrell

Data assimilation method consists in combining all available pieces of information about a system to obtain optimal estimates of initial states. The different sources of information are weighted according to their accuracy by the means of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-04-30 Angélique Ponçot , Jean-Philippe Argaud , Bertrand Bouriquet , Patrick Erhard , Serge Gratton , Olivier Thual

Errors in the representation of clouds in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction models can be introduced by different sources. These can be the forcing and boundary conditions, the representation of orography, the accuracy of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Stefanie Legler , Tijana Janjic

As offshore wind turbines develop into deepwater operations, accurately quantifying the impact of stochastic excitations in complex sea environments on offshore wind turbines and conducting structural fatigue reliability analysis has become…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Jingyi Ding , Hanshu Chen , Xiaoting Liu , Youssef F. Rashed , Zhuojia Fu

Validating engineering wake models under real-world operational conditions is essential for improving wind farm performance predictions. This study uses a unique dataset from the Lillgrund offshore wind farm, collected during the Horizon…

Sea wave monitoring is key in many applications in oceanography such as the validation of weather and wave models. Conventional in situ solutions are based on moored buoys whose measurements are often recognized as a standard. However,…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2024-01-10 Lorenzo Iafolla , Emiliano Fiorenza , Massimo Chiappini , Cosmo Carmisciano , Valerio Antonio Iafolla
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