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This paper provides an elementary, self-contained analysis of diffusion-based sampling methods for generative modeling. In contrast to existing approaches that rely on continuous-time processes and then discretize, our treatment works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Galen Reeves , Henry D. Pfister

Continuous diffusion models are commonly acknowledged to display a deterministic probability flow, whereas discrete diffusion models do not. In this paper, we aim to establish the fundamental theory for the probability flow of discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Pengze Zhang , Hubery Yin , Chen Li , Xiaohua Xie

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

Eliciting a high-dimensional probability distribution from an expert via noisy judgments is notoriously challenging, yet useful for many applications, such as prior elicitation and reward modeling. We introduce a method for eliciting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi , Arto Klami

We examine the asymmetric simple exclusion process with open boundaries, a paradigm of driven diffusive systems, having a nonequilibrium steady state transition. We provide a full derivation and expanded discussion and digression on results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Martin Depken , Robin Stinchcombe

We assume that we observe $N$ independent copies of a diffusion process on a time-interval $[0,2T]$. For a given time $t$, we estimate the transition density $p_t(x,y)$, namely the conditional density of $X_{t + s}$ given $X_s = x$, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

We derive a simple and precise approximation to probability density functions in sampling distributions based on the Fourier cosine series. After clarifying the required conditions, we illustrate the approximation on two examples: the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Shigekazu Nakagawa , Hiroki Hashiguchi , Yoko Ono

Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Chen-Hsiang Yeang , Martin Szummer

The functional flow equations for the Legendre effective action, with respect to changes in a smooth cutoff, are approximated by a derivative expansion; no other approximation is made. This results in a set of coupled non-linear…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-28 Tim R. Morris

In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

Continuous time random walks are non-Markovian stochastic processes, which are only partly characterized by single-time probability distributions. We derive a closed evolution equation for joint two-point probability density functions of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Baule , R. Friedrich

Transition path theory (TPT) for diffusion processes is a framework for analysing the transitions of multiscale ergodic diffusion processes between disjoint metastable subsets of state space. Most methods for applying TPT involve the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Nada Cvetković , Tim Conrad , Han Cheng Lie

In this paper, a diffusion-aggregation equation with delta potential is introduced. Based on the global existence and uniform estimates of solutions to the diffusion-aggregation equation, we also provide the rigorous derivation from a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-12-13 Li Chen , Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

A step by step procedure to derive analytically the exact dynamical evolution equations of the probability density functions (PDF) of well known kinetic wealth exchange economic models is shown. This technique gives a dynamical insight into…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-20 Xavier Calbet , Jose-Luis Lopez , Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz

Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper, insight is given in the techniques used to compute asymptotic expansions. In a broad fashion the technique is described. Most of the results apply to the paper "An expansion for the maximum likelihood estimator and its…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-05 Shanti Venetiaan

.Stochastic models based on random diffusivities, such as the diffusing-diffusivity approach, are popular concepts for the description of non-Gaussian diffusion in heterogeneous media. Studies of these models typically focus on the moments…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 V. Sposini , D. S. Grebenkov , R. Metzler , G. Oshanin , F. Seno

We introduce a novel mesh-free and direct method for computing the shape derivative in PDE-constrained shape optimization problems. Our approach is based on a probabilistic representation of the shape derivative and is applicable for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Luka Schlegel , Volker Schulz , Frank T. Seifried , Maximilian Würschmidt

We introduce an approximation strategy for the discounted moments of a stochastic process that can, for a large class of problems, approximate the true moments. These moments appear in pricing formulas of financial products such as bonds…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Chenyu Zhao , Misha van Beek , Peter Spreij , Makhtar Ba
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