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Public special events, like sports games, concerts and festivals are well known to create disruptions in transportation systems, often catching the operators by surprise. Although these are usually planned well in advance, their impact is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-21 Filipe Rodrigues , Stanislav S. Borysov , Bernardete Ribeiro , Francisco C. Pereira

Belief Propagation (BP) is one of the most popular methods for inference in probabilistic graphical models. BP is guaranteed to return the correct answer for tree structures, but can be incorrect or non-convergent for loopy graphical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Siamak Ravanbakhsh , Chun-Nam Yu , Russell Greiner

We propose a sampling algorithm to perform system identification from a set of input-output graph signal pairs. The dynamics of the systems we study are given by a partially known adjacency matrix and a generic parametric graph filter of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Martín Sevilla , Santiago Segarra

It has been proposed by many researchers that combining deep neural networks with graphical models can create more efficient and better regularized composite models. The main difficulties in implementing this in practice are associated with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Patrick Knöbelreiter , Christian Sormann , Alexander Shekhovtsov , Friedrich Fraundorfer , Thomas Pock

Understanding and interacting with everyday physical scenes requires rich knowledge about the structure of the world, represented either implicitly in a value or policy function, or explicitly in a transition model. Here we introduce a new…

In Bayesian networks, exact belief propagation is achieved through message passing algorithms. These algorithms (ex: inward and outward) provide only a recursive definition of the corresponding messages. In contrast, when working on hidden…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 G. Nuel

Predicting the supply and demand of transport systems is vital for efficient traffic management, control, optimization, and planning. For example, predicting where from/to and when people intend to travel by taxi can support fleet managers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Mathias Niemann Tygesen , Francisco C. Pereira , Filipe Rodrigues

Expectation propagation is a general approach to fast approximate inference for graphical models. The existing literature treats models separately when it comes to deriving and coding expectation propagation inference algorithms. This comes…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Wilson Y. Chen , Matt P. Wand

Gaussian belief propagation (BP) has been widely used for distributed estimation in large-scale networks such as the smart grid, communication networks, and social networks, where local measurements/observations are scattered over a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-14 Jian Du , Shaodan Ma , Yik-Chung Wu , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

Road traffic congestion prediction is a crucial component of intelligent transportation systems, since it enables proactive traffic management, enhances suburban experience, reduces environmental impact, and improves overall safety and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Eren Olug , Kiymet Kaya , Resul Tugay , Sule Gunduz Oguducu

We study asymptotic properties of expectation propagation (EP) -- a method for approximate inference originally developed in the field of machine learning. Applied to generalized linear models, EP iteratively computes a multivariate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-11 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

Belief Propagation algorithms acting on Graphical Models of classical probability distributions, such as Markov Networks, Factor Graphs and Bayesian Networks, are amongst the most powerful known methods for deriving probabilistic inferences…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Matthew Leifer , David Poulin

In urban driving scenarios, forecasting future trajectories of surrounding vehicles is of paramount importance. While several approaches for the problem have been proposed, the best-performing ones tend to require extremely detailed input…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Shashank Srikanth , Junaid Ahmed Ansari , Karnik Ram R , Sarthak Sharma , Krishna Murthy J. , Madhava Krishna K

We introduce priors and algorithms to perform Bayesian inference in Gaussian models defined by acyclic directed mixed graphs. Such a class of graphs, composed of directed and bi-directed edges, is a representation of conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Ricardo Silva , Zoubin Ghahramani

We investigate the application of the factor graph framework for blind joint channel estimation and symbol detection on time-variant linear inter-symbol interference channels. In particular, we consider the expectation maximization (EM)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Luca Schmid , Tomer Raviv , Nir Shlezinger , Laurent Schmalen

The wide spread use of positioning and photographing devices gives rise to a deluge of traffic trajectory data (e.g., vehicle passage records and taxi trajectory data), with each record having at least three attributes: object ID, location…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Meng Chen , Xiaohui Yu , Yang Liu

Many inference problems in structured prediction are naturally solved by augmenting a tractable dependency structure with complex, non-local auxiliary objectives. This includes the mean field family of variational inference algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-29 Luke Vilnis , David Belanger , Daniel Sheldon , Andrew McCallum

We develop a probabilistic framework for global modeling of the traffic over a computer network. This model integrates existing single-link (-flow) traffic models with the routing over the network to capture the global traffic behavior. It…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-05-25 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Joel Vaughan

The continuous expansion of the urban traffic sensing infrastructure has led to a surge in the volume of widely available road related data. Consequently, increasing effort is being dedicated to the creation of intelligent transportation…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Alina Patelli , Victoria Lush , Aniko Ekart , Elisabeth Ilie-Zudor