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We briefly review our recent studies on stochastic processes modelling internet on-line trading. We present a way to evaluate the average waiting time between the observation of the price in financial markets and the next price change,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-21 Jun-ichi Inoue , Naoya Sazuka , Enrico Scalas

We propose a useful approach for investigating the statistical properties of foreign currency exchange rates. Our approach is based on queueing theory, particularly, the so-called renewal-reward theorem. For the first passage processes of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Jun-ichi Inoue , Naoya Sazuka

The goal of developing a firmer theoretical understanding of inhomogenous temporal processes -- in particular, the waiting times in some collective dynamical system -- is attracting significant interest among physicists. Quantifying the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 Guannan Zhao , Mark McDonald , Dan Fenn , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson

A theory which describes the share price evolution at financial markets as a continuous-time random walk has been generalized in order to take into account the dependence of waiting times t on price returns x. A joint probability density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

We investigate intra-day foreign exchange (FX) time series using the inverse statistic analysis developed in [1,2]. Specifically, we study the time-averaged distributions of waiting times needed to obtain a certain increase (decrease)…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-05-05 M. H. Jensen , A. Johansen , F. Petroni , I. Simonsen

We analyze waiting times for price changes in a foreign currency exchange rate. Recent empirical studies of high frequency financial data support that trades in financial markets do not follow a Poisson process and the waiting times between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Naoya Sazuka

In financial markets, not only prices and returns can be considered as random variables, but also the waiting time between two transactions varies randomly. In the following, we analyse the statistical properties of General Electric stock…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Raberto , E. Scalas , F. Mainardi

The time dependence of the currency exchange rate K treated as a function of national dividend, investments and difference between total demand for a goods and supply is considered. To do this a proposed earlier general algorithm of…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Ya. Kobelev , O. L. Kobeleva , Ya. L. Kobelev

The definition of time is still an open question when one deals with high frequency time series. If time is simply the calendar time, prices can be modeled as continuous random processes and values resulting from transactions or given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Luca Berardi , Maurizio Serva

We consider an M/M/1 feedback queue in which service attempts may fail, requiring the customer to rejoin the queue. Arriving customers act strategically, deciding whether to join the queue based on a threshold strategy that depends on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Peter Taylor , Jiesen Wang

We carry out a detailed large-scale data analysis of price response functions in the spot foreign exchange market for different years and different time scales. Such response functions provide quantitative information on the deviation from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Juan Camilo Henao Londono , Thomas Guhr

We analyze a tandem network of polling queues with two product types and two stations. We assume that external arrivals to the network follow a Poisson process, and service times at each station are exponentially distributed. For this…

Performance · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Ravi Suman , Ananth Krishnamurthy

In this paper we consider a single-server, cyclic polling system with switch-over times and Poisson arrivals. The service disciplines that are discussed, are exhaustive and gated service. The novel contribution of the present paper is that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-04 Marko Boon

A firm that sells a non perishable product considers intertemporal price discrimination in the objective of maximizing its long-run average revenue. We consider a general model of patient customers with changing valuations. Arriving…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Araman Victor , Fayad Bassam

In Naor's model [17], customers decide whether or not to join a queue after observing its length. This work considers a variation in which customers are heterogeneous in their service value (reward) $R$ from completed service and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Daniel Podorojnyi , Liron Ravner

New fast estimation methods stemming from control theory lead to a fresh look at time series, which bears some resemblance to "technical analysis". The results are applied to a typical object of financial engineering, namely the forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-23 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

In this paper, we introduce a matrix-valued time series model for foreign exchange market. We then formulate trading matrices, foreign exchange options and return options (matrices), as well as on-line portfolio strategies. Moreover, we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-04 Panpan Ren , Jiang-Lun Wu

In a financial market, for agents with long investment horizons or at times of severe market stress, it is often changes in the asset price that act as the trigger for transactions or shifts in investment position. This suggests the use of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 H. Lamba

The standard approach to realize a quantum repeater relies upon probabilistic but heralded entangled state manipulations and the storage of quantum states while waiting for successful events. In the literature on this class of repeaters,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-09-25 E. Shchukin , F. Schmidt , P. van Loock

We analyze tick data of yen-dollar exchange with a focus on its up and down movement. We show that there exists a rather particular conditional probability structure with such high frequency data. This result provides us with evidence to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Toru Ohira , Naoya Sazuka , Kouhei Marumo , Tokiko Shimizu , Misako Takayasu , Hideki Takayasu
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