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Symbolic transfer entropy is a powerful non-parametric tool to detect lead-lag between time series. Because a closed expression of the distribution of Transfer Entropy is not known for finite-size samples, statistical testing is often…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet

The correlation matrix is the key element in optimal portfolio allocation and risk management. In particular, the eigenvectors of the correlation matrix corresponding to large eigenvalues can be used to identify the market mode, sectors and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-05 S. Valeyre , D. S. Grebenkov , S. Aboura

In this article, the long-term behavior of the stock market index of the New York Stock Exchange is studied, for the period 1950 to 2013. Specifically, the CRSP Value-Weighted and CRSP Equal-Weighted index are analyzed in terms of market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-15 Roberto Ortiz , Mauricio Contreras , Marcelo Villena

We study historical correlations and lead-lag relationships between individual stock risk (volatility of daily stock returns) and market risk (volatility of daily returns of a market-representative portfolio) in the US stock market. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-03 Stanislav S. Borysov , Alexander V. Balatsky

We investigate the daily correlation present among market indices of stock exchanges located all over the world in the time period Jan 1996 - Jul 2009. We discover that the correlation among market indices presents both a fast and a slow…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-16 Dong-Ming Song , Michele Tumminello , Wei-Xing Zhou , Rosario N. Mantegna

We investigate the random walk of prices by developing a simple model relating the properties of the signs and absolute values of individual price changes to the diffusion rate (volatility) of prices at longer time scales. We show that this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriele La Spada , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

We find a nonlinear dependence between an indicator of the degree of multiscaling of log-price time series of a stock and the average correlation of the stock with respect to the other stocks traded in the same market. This result is a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-02 R. J. Buonocore , G. Brandi , R. N. Mantegna , T. Di Matteo

We propose a model with heterogeneous interacting traders which can explain some of the stylized facts of stock market returns. In the model synchronization effects, which generate large fluctuations in returns, can arise either from an…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Giulia Iori

Stock prices are observed to be random walks in time despite a strong, long term memory in the signs of trades (buys or sells). Lillo and Farmer have recently suggested that these correlations are compensated by opposite long ranged…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 J. -P. Bouchaud , J. Kockelkoren , M. Potters

We investigated financial market data to determine which factors affect information flow between stocks. Two factors, the time dependency and the degree of efficiency, were considered in the analysis of Korean, the Japanese, the Taiwanese,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Woo-Sung Jung , Sunghoon Choi , Gabjin Oh , Seunghwan Kim

Several studies have shown that large changes in the returns of an asset are associated with the sized of the gaps present in the order book In general, these associations have been studied without explicitly considering the dynamics of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-08 Roberto Mota Navarro , Paulino Monroy Castillero , Francois Leyvraz

Cascades of events and extreme occurrences have garnered significant attention across diverse domains such as financial markets, seismology, and social physics. Such events can stem either from the internal dynamics inherent to the system…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-26 Cecilia Aubrun , Rudy Morel , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We investigate financial market correlations using random matrix theory and principal component analysis. We use random matrix theory to demonstrate that correlation matrices of asset price changes contain structure that is incompatible…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Stacy Williams , Mark McDonald , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

Cross-sectional signatures of market panic were recently discussed on daily time scales in [1], extended here to a study of cross-sectional properties of stocks on intra-day time scales. We confirm specific intra-day patterns of dispersion…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-26 Lisa Borland , Yoan Hassid

This study analyses the duration dependence of events that trigger volatility persistence in stock markets. Such events, in our context, are monthly spells of contiguous price decline or negative returns for the S&P500 stock market index…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Rui Menezes , Sonia Bentes

An extensive empirical literature documents a generally negative correlation, named the "leverage effect," between asset returns and changes of volatility. It is more challenging to establish such a return-volatility relationship for jumps…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Markus Bibinger , Christopher Neely , Lars Winkelmann

By incorporating market impact and asymmetric sensitivity into the evolutionary minority game, we study the coevolutionary dynamics of stock prices and investment strategies in financial markets. Both the stock price movement and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Fei Ren , Yong-Dong Shi

In this paper, we are interested in continuous time models in which the index level induces some feedback on the dynamics of its composing stocks. More precisely, we propose a model in which the log-returns of each stock may be decomposed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-17 Benjamin Jourdain , Mohamed Sbai

In this paper, the higher order dynamics of individual illiquid stocks are investigated. We show that considering the classical powers correlation could lead to a spurious assessment of the volatility persistency or long memory volatility…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Valentin Patilea , Hamdi Raïssi

Investigating the relationship, particularly the lead-lag effect, between time series is a common question across various disciplines, especially when uncovering biological process. However, analyzing time series presents several…