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This paper develops a novel statistical approach to characterize temporally localised cross-oscillatory interactions between channels in a functional brain network. Brain signals are generally nonstationary and the proposed framework uses…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Haibo Wu , Marina I. Knight , Hernando Ombao

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

This article is a presentation of specific recent results describing scaling limits of individual-based models. Thanks to them, we wish to relate the time-scales typical of demographic dynamics and natural selection to the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Most complex systems are intrinsically dynamic in nature. The evolution of a dynamic complex system is typically represented as a sequence of snapshots, where each snapshot describes the configuration of the system at a particular instant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-30 Richard K. Darst , Clara Granell , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez , Jari Saramäki , Santo Fortunato

The era of information explosion had prompted the accumulation of a tremendous amount of time-series data, including stationary and non-stationary time-series data. State-of-the-art algorithms have achieved a decent performance in dealing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Xipei Wang , Haoyu Zhang , Yuanbo Zhang , Meng Wang , Jiarui Song , Tin Lai , Matloob Khushi

Deep learning utilizing transformers has recently achieved a lot of success in many vital areas such as natural language processing, computer vision, anomaly detection, and recommendation systems, among many others. Among several merits of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Lena Sasal , Tanujit Chakraborty , Abdenour Hadid

Forecasting non-stationary time series is a challenging task because their statistical properties often change over time, making it hard for deep models to generalize well. Instance-level normalization techniques can help address shifts in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Junpeng Lin , Tian Lan , Bo Zhang , Ke Lin , Dandan Miao , Huiru He , Jiantao Ye , Chen Zhang , Yan-fu Li

We compare frameworks of nonstationary nonperiodic wavelets and periodic wavelets. We construct one system from another using periodization. There are infinitely many nonstationary systems corresponding to the same periodic wavelet. Under…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-08-19 Elena A. Lebedeva

One unique property of time series is that the temporal relations are largely preserved after downsampling into two sub-sequences. By taking advantage of this property, we propose a novel neural network architecture that conducts sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Minhao Liu , Ailing Zeng , Muxi Chen , Zhijian Xu , Qiuxia Lai , Lingna Ma , Qiang Xu

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

In this paper we consider several continuous-time multivariate non-Gaussian models applied to finance and proposed in the literature in the last years. We study the models focusing on the parsimony of the number of parameters, the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-14 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Asmerilda Hitaj , Gian Luca Tassinari

Graph Signal Processing generalizes classical signal processing to signal or data indexed by the vertices of a weighted graph. So far, the research efforts have been focused on static graph signals. However numerous applications involve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-22 Francesco Grassi , Nathanael Perraudin , Benjamin Ricaud

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak

Interaction graphs, such as those recording emails between individuals or transactions between institutions, tend to be sparse yet structured, and often grow in an unbounded manner. Such behavior can be well-captured by structured,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Elahe Ghalebi , Hamidreza Mahyar , Radu Grosu , Graham W. Taylor , Sinead A. Williamson

Time series modeling has attracted extensive research efforts; however, achieving both reliable efficiency and interpretability from a unified model still remains a challenging problem. Among the literature, shapelets offer interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Ziqiang Cheng , Yang Yang , Wei Wang , Wenjie Hu , Yueting Zhuang , Guojie Song

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

Studying sample path behaviour of stochastic fields/processes is a classical research topic in probability theory and related areas such as fractal geometry. To this end, many methods have been developed since a long time in Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-13 Antoine Ayache , Geoffrey Boutard

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We introduce circulance, a scalar measure for classifying time series of dynamical systems. Circulance captures the extent of temporal regularity or irregularity that is encoded in the topology of a directed ordinal pattern transition…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-05 Max Potratzki , Manuel Adams , Timo Bröhl , Klaus Lehnertz

We introduce the concept of time series motifs for time series analysis. Time series motifs consider not only the spatial information of mutual visibility but also the temporal information of relative magnitude between the data points. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-04 Wen-Jie Xie , Rui-Qi Han , Wei-Xing Zhou