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This paper presents a new numerical approach to the study of non-periodicity in signals, which can complement the maximal Lyapunov exponent method for determining chaos transitions of a given dynamical system. The proposed technique is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-08-14 R. Benítez , V. J. Bolós , M. E. Ramírez

We consider a mean-reverting stochastic volatility model which satisfies some relevant stylized facts of financial markets. We introduce an algorithm for the detection of peaks in the volatility profile, that we apply to the time series of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-05 Mario Bonino , Matteo Camelia , Paolo Pigato

There have been several recent efforts towards developing representations for multivariate time-series in an unsupervised learning framework. Such representations can prove beneficial in tasks such as activity recognition, health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-23 Yitian Zhang , Florence Regol , Antonios Valkanas , Mark Coates

Parameter estimation for non-stationary stochastic differential equations (SDE) with an arbitrary nonlinear drift, and nonlinear diffusion is accomplished in combination with a non-parametric clustering methodology. Such a model-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Vyacheslav Boyko , Sebastian Krumscheid , Nikki Vercauteren

Many models of physics beyond the Standard Model include towers of particles whose masses follow an approximately periodic pattern with little spacing between them. These resonances might be too weak to detect individually, but could be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-03-18 Hugues Beauchesne , Yevgeny Kats

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to multivariate time-varying power spectrum analysis. The procedure adaptively partitions a time series into an unknown number of approximately stationary segments, where some spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-28 Zeda Li , Robert T. Krafty

Many physical and physiological signals exhibit complex scale-invariant features characterized by $1/f$ scaling and long-range power-law correlations, suggesting a possibly common control mechanism. Specifically, it has been suggested that…

We introduce simple models of genetic regulatory networks and we proceed to the mathematical analysis of their dynamics. The models are discrete time dynamical systems generated by piecewise affine contracting mappings whose variables…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ricardo Coutinho , Bastien Fernandez , Ricardo Lima , Arnaud Meyroneinc

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

Experimentally observed networks of interacting dynamical systems are inferred from recorded multivariate time series by evaluating a statistical measure of dependence, usually the cross-correlation coefficient, or mutual information. These…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-07-03 Milan Palus

The fluctuation scaling law has universally been observed in a wide variety of phenomena. For counting processes describing the number of events occurred during time intervals, it is expressed as a power function relationship between the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-07-01 Shinsuke Koyama

We report a general technique to study a given experimental time series with superstatistics. Crucial for the applicability of the superstatistics concept is the existence of a parameter $\beta$ that fluctuates on a large time scale as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Erik Van der Straeten , Christian Beck

Humans can synchronize with musical events whilst coordinating their movements with others. Interpersonal entrainment phenomena, such as dance, involve multiple body parts and movement directions. Along with being multidimensional, dance…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-21 Petri Toiviainen , Martin Hartmann

We propose a simple stochastic volatility model which is analytically tractable, very easy to simulate and which captures some relevant stylized facts of financial assets, including scaling properties. In particular, the model displays a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-20 Alessandro Andreoli , Francesco Caravenna , Paolo Dai Pra , Gustavo Posta

We present a framework for describing the evolution of stochastic observables having a non-stationary distribution of values. The framework is applied to empirical volume-prices from assets traded at the New York stock exchange. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-18 Paulo Rocha , Frank Raischel , João P. Boto , Pedro G. Lind

It is common for long financial time series to exhibit gradual change in the unconditional volatility. We propose a new model that captures this type of nonstationarity in a parsimonious way. The model augments the volatility equation of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-15 Niklas Ahlgren , Alexander Back , Timo Teräsvirta

A technique is introduced for estimating unknown parameters when time series of only one variable from a multivariate nonlinear dynamical system is given. The technique employs a combination of two different control methods, a linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

High-dimensional multivariate time series are common in many scientific and industrial applications, where the interest lies in identifying key dependence structure within the data for subsequent analysis tasks, such as forecasting. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Madeline A. Shelley , Chiara Boetti , Marina I. Knight , Matthew A. Nunes

It is commonplace to encounter nonstationary data, of which the underlying generating process may change over time or across domains. The nonstationarity presents both challenges and opportunities for causal discovery. In this paper we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Kun Zhang , Biwei Huang , Jiji Zhang , Bernhard Schölkopf , Clark Glymour

It has been observed that an interesting class of non-Gaussian stationary processes is obtained when in the harmonics of a signal with random amplitudes and phases, frequencies can also vary randomly. In the resulting models, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Anastassia Baxevani , Krzysztof Podgórski