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For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

We use a continuous-time random walk (CTRW) to model market fluctuation data from times when traders experience excessive losses or excessive profits. We analytically derive "superstatistics" that accurately model empirical market activity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-12 Mateusz Denys , Maciej Jagielski , Tomasz Gubiec , Ryszard Kutner , H. Eugene Stanley

We complement the theory of tick-by-tick dynamics of financial markets based on a Continuous-Time Random Walk (CTRW) model recently proposed by Scalas et al., and we point out its consistency with the behaviour observed in the waiting-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Francesco Mainardi , Marco Raberto , Rudolf Gorenflo , Enrico Scalas

Continuous Time Random Walks (CTRW) are widely used to coarse-grain the evolution of systems jumping from a metastable sub-set of their configuration space, or trap, to another via rare intermittent events. The multi-scaled behavior typical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-21 Paolo Sibani

We consider the dynamics of a separable Continuous Time Random Walk (CTRW) when the random walker is biased by a velocity field in a uniformly growing domain. Concrete examples for such domains include growing biological cells or lipid…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 F. Le Vot , E. Abad , R. Metzler , S. B. Yuste

The foundations of the fractional diffusion equation are investigated based on coupled and decoupled continuous time random walks (CTRW). For this aim we find an exact solution of the decoupled CTRW, in terms of an infinite sum of stable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Eli Barkai

Continuous time random walks have random waiting times between particle jumps. We define the correlated continuous time random walks (CTRWs) that converge to fractional Pearson diffusions (fPDs). The jumps in these CTRWs are obtained from…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Nikolai N. Leonenko , Ivan Papić , Alla Sikorskii , Nenad Šuvak

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

Recent findings suggest that processes such as the electronic energy transfer through the photosynthetic antenna display quantal features, aspects known from the dynamics of charge carriers along polymer backbones. Hence, in modeling energy…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Elena Agliari , Oliver Muelken , Alexander Blumen

We investigate the dynamics of a particle executing a general Continuous Time Random Walk (CTRW) in three dimensions under the influence of arbitrary time-varying external fields. Contrary to the general approach in recent works, our method…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-15 Shovan Dutta , Subhankar Ray , J. Shamanna

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

Brownian motion is a well-known model for normal diffusion, but not all physical phenomena behave according to a Brownian motion. Many phenomena exhibit irregular diffusive behavior, called anomalous diffusion. Examples of anomalous…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-04 Meredith N. Burr

The continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are typically defned in the way that their trajectories are discontinuous step fuctions. This may be a unwellcome feature from the point of view of application of theese processes to model certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Piotr Zebrowski , Marcin Magdziarz

We discuss large deviation properties of continuous-time random walks (CTRW) and present a general expression for the large deviation rate in CTRW in terms of the corresponding rates for the distributions of steps' lengths and waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-14 Adrian Pacheco-Pozo , Igor M. Sokolov

We show that for a weakly dense subset of the domain of attraction of a positive stable random variable of index $0<\alpha<1$($DOA\left(\alpha\right))$ the functional stable convergence is a time-changed renewal convergence of distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Ofer Busani

Continuous Time Random Walks (CTRWs) are jump processes with random waiting times between jumps. We study scaling limits for CTRWs where the distribution of jumps and waiting times is coupled and varies in space and time. Such processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Peter Straka

The continuous time random walk model plays an important role in modeling of so called anomalous diffusion behaviour. One of the specific property of such model are constant time periods visible in trajectory. In the continuous time random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-01-04 Rafał Połoczański , Agnieszka Wyłomańska , Janusz Gajda , Monika Maciejewska , Andrzej Szczurek

We apply the theory of continuous time random walks to study some aspects of the extreme value problem applied to financial time series. We focus our attention on extreme times, specifically the mean exit time and the mean first-passage…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep Perello

In this paper continuous time random walk models approximating fractional space-time diffusion processes are studied. Stochastic processes associated with the considered equations represent time-changed processes, where the time-change…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Sabir Umarov

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are versatile models for anomalous diffusion processes that have found widespread application in the quantitative sciences. Their scaling limits are typically non-Markovian, and the computation of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-25 Mark M. Meerschaert , Peter Straka