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Timeseries generated from a dynamical source can often be modeled as sample paths of a stochastic differential equation (SDE). The timeseries thus reflects the motion of a particle which flows along the direction provided by a drift /…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Suddhasattwa Das

Statistical inference for discretely observed jump-diffusion processes is a complex problem which motivates new methodological challenges. Thus existing approaches invariably resort to time-discretisations which inevitably lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-02 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Krzysztof G. Łatuszyński , Gareth O. Roberts

This paper proposes a new model for individuals movement in ecology. The movement process is defined as a solution to a stochastic differential equation whose drift is the gradient of a multimodal potential surface. This offers a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Pierre Gloaguen , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Sylvain Le Corff

Quantization for probability distributions refers broadly to estimating a given probability measure by a discrete probability measure supported by a finite number of points. We consider general geometric approaches to quantization using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Joseph Rosenblatt , Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury

This work reviews deterministic and diffusion approximations of the stochastic chemical reaction networks and explains their applications. We discuss the added value the diffusion approximation provides for systems with different phenomena,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-15 Pavel Mozgunov , Marco Beccuti , Andras Horvath , Thomas Jaki , Roberta Sirovich , Enrico Bibbona

The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-11-14 Jan Albrecht , Manfred Opper , Robert Großmann

We study the problem of drift estimation for two-scale continuous time series. We set ourselves in the framework of overdamped Langevin equations, for which a single-scale surrogate homogenized equation exists. In this setting, estimating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrew M. Stuart , Andrea Zanoni

The problem of reconstructing the drift of a diffusion in $\erre^d$, $d\geq 2$, from the transition probability density observed outside a domain is considered. The solution of this problem also solves a new inverse problem for a class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sergio Albeverio , Carlo Marinelli

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We consider a linear stochastic differential equation with stochastic drift and multiplicative noise. We study the problem of approximating its solution with the process that solves the equation where the possibly stochastic drift is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Giacomo Ascione , Giuseppe D'Onofrio

We construct the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the unknown drift parameter $\theta\in \mathbb{R}$ in the linear model $X_t=\theta t+\sigma B^{H_1}(t)+B^{H_2}(t),\;t\in[0,T],$ where $B^{H_1}$ and $B^{H_2}$ are two independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Yuliya Mishura

In this paper, insight is given in the techniques used to compute asymptotic expansions. In a broad fashion the technique is described. Most of the results apply to the paper "An expansion for the maximum likelihood estimator and its…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-05 Shanti Venetiaan

We study supervised multiclass classification for diffusion processes, where each class is characterized by a distinct drift function and trajectories are observed at discrete times. We first derive a multidimensional Bayes rule and then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Yuzhen Zhao , Jiarong Fan , Yating Liu

In this article we derive Talagrand's $T_2$ inequality on the path space w.r.t. the maximum norm for various stochastic processes, including solutions of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations with measurable drifts, backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Daniel Bartl , Ludovic Tangpi

This paper uses Lie symmetry methods to calculate certain expectations for a large class of It\^{o} diffusions. We show that if the problem has sufficient symmetry, then the problem of computing functionals of the form $E_x(e^{-\lambda…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Mark Craddock , Kelly A. Lennox

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

A stochastic hybrid system, also known as a switching diffusion, is a continuous-time Markov process with state space consisting of discrete and continuous parts. We consider parametric estimation of theQmatrix for the discrete state…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

We present a new method for detecting superdiffusive behaviour and for determining rates of superdiffusion in time series data. Our method applies equally to stochastic and deterministic time series data (with no prior knowledge required of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-23 Georg A. Gottwald , Ian Melbourne

Irreversible drift-diffusion processes are very common in biochemical reactions. They have a non-equilibrium stationary state (invariant measure) which does not satisfy detailed balance. For the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation on a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Yuan Gao , Jian-Guo Liu

We study the simple hypothesis testing problem for the drift coefficient for stochastic fractional heat equation driven by additive noise. We introduce the notion of asymptotically the most powerful test, and find explicit forms of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-22 Igor Cialenco , Liaosha Xu