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We analyze characteristics' joint predictive information through the lens of out-of-sample power utility functions. Linking weights to characteristics to form optimal portfolios suffers from estimation error which we mitigate by maximizing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Christopher G. Lamoureux , Huacheng Zhang

Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) prescribes how to maximise the return of an asset portfolio for a given level of risk. The optimal trade-off between return and variance defines the efficient frontier. Whether actual cryptoasset portfolios…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Ivan Vynyavskyy , Stefan Kitzler , Bernhard Haslhofer , Aviv Yaish

We consider an investor facing a classical portfolio problem of optimal investment in a log-Brownian stock and a fixed-interest bond, but constrained to choose portfolio and consumption strategies that reduce a dynamic shortfall risk…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-04 Imke Redeker , Ralf Wunderlich

This paper examines the applicability of Random Matrix Theory to portfolio management in finance. Starting from a group of normally distributed stochastic processes with given correlations we devise an algorithm for removing noise from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

We study the rate of decay of the probability of error for distinguishing between a sparse signal with noise, modeled as a sparse mixture, from pure noise. This problem has many applications in signal processing, evolutionary biology,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Jonathan G. Ligo , George V. Moustakides , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

The instability of historical risk factor correlations renders their use in estimating portfolio risk extremely questionable. In periods of market stress correlations of risk factors have a tendency to quickly go well beyond estimated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-10 Vineer Bhansali , Mark B. Wise

In this study, we propose a new multi-objective portfolio optimization with idiosyncratic and systemic risks for financial networks. The two risks are measured by the idiosyncratic variance and the network clustering coefficient derived…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-23 Yajie Yang , Longfeng Zhao , Lin Chen , Chao Wang , Jihui Han

In this work, we explore the possibility of utilizing transfer learning techniques to address the financial portfolio optimization problem. We introduce a novel concept called "transfer risk", within the optimization framework of transfer…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Haoyang Cao , Haotian Gu , Xin Guo , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider a variation on the classical finance problem of optimal portfolio design. In our setting, a large population of consumers is drawn from some distribution over risk tolerances, and each consumer must be assigned to a portfolio of…

A major challenge in sparsity pattern estimation is that small modes are difficult to detect in the presence of noise. This problem is alleviated if one can observe samples from multiple realizations of the nonzero values for the same…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-07-29 Galen Reeves , Michael Gastpar

We propose to interpret distribution model risk as sensitivity of expected loss to changes in the risk factor distribution, and to measure the distribution model risk of a portfolio by the maximum expected loss over a set of plausible…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Thomas Breuer , Imre Csiszar

Stochastic programs where the uncertainty distribution must be inferred from noisy data samples are considered. The stochastic programs are approximated with distributionally-robust optimizations that minimize the worst-case expected cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Farhad Farokhi

This paper studies a continuous-time portfolio selection problem under a general distribution of random risk aversion (RRA). We provide a complete characterization of all deterministic equilibrium strategies in closed form. Our results show…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-02 Weilun Cheng , Zongxia Liang , Sheng Wang , Jianming Xia

The main contribution of this paper is the derivation of the asymptotic behaviour of the out-of-sample variance, the out-of-sample relative loss, and of their empirical counterparts in the high-dimensional setting, i.e., when both ratios…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsén

The Total Portfolio Approach and Strategic Asset Allocation are widely viewed as competing frameworks for institutional portfolio management. We argue they differ in a single governance parameter: the tracking error constraint. Using U.S.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-04 Ashwin Alankar , Allan Maymin , Philip Maymin , Myron Scholes , Sujiang Zhang

We develop a liquidity-sensitive multivariate volatility framework to improve the estimation of time-varying covariance structures under market frictions. We introduce two novel portfolio-level liquidity measures, liquidity jump and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-21 Qi Deng

We consider the problem of optimizing a portfolio of financial assets, where the number of assets can be much larger than the number of observations. The optimal portfolio weights require estimating the inverse covariance matrix of excess…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Anik Burman , Sayantan Banerjee

In this paper, we develop econometric tools to analyze the integrated volatility of the efficient price and the dynamic properties of microstructure noise in high-frequency data under general dependent noise. We first develop consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Z. Merrick Li , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel H. Vellekoop

We consider the portfolio optimization with risk measured by conditional value-at-risk, based on the stress event of chosen asset being equal to the opposite of its value-at-risk level, under the normality assumption. Solvability conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Anna Zalewska

We introduce a neural network approach for assessing the risk of a portfolio of assets and liabilities over a given time period. This requires a conditional valuation of the portfolio given the state of the world at a later time, a problem…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-27 Patrick Cheridito , John Ery , Mario V. Wüthrich