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We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 L. Györfi , G. Lugosi , G. Morvai

This paper studies iterative schemes for measure transfer and approximation problems, which are defined through a slicing-and-matching procedure. Similar to the sliced Wasserstein distance, these schemes benefit from the availability of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Shiying Li , Caroline Moosmueller , Yongzhe Wang

The purpose of this paper is to explain a certain dichotomy between the information that the past and future values of a multivariate stochastic process carry about the present. More specifically, vector-valued, second-order stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Yongxin Chen , Johan Karlsson , Tryphon T. Georgiou

Stochastic birth-death processes are described as continuous-time Markov processes in models of population dynamics. A system of infinite, coupled ordinary differential equations (the so-called master equation) describes the time-dependence…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-01-21 Primitivo B. Acosta-Humanez , Jose A. Capitan , Juan J. Morales-Ruiz

In this article, the following results are obtained: the process of a randomly wandering particle having a size and a continuous trajectory of motion is considered; (b) based on the study of this probabilistic process, a derivation of the…

General Physics · Physics 2021-09-28 Mikhail Batanov-Gaukhman

Epidemic dynamics in a stochastic network of interacting epidemic centers is considered. The epidemic and migration processes are modelled by Markov's chains. Explicit formulas for probability distribution of the migration process are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-05 Igor Sazonov , Mark Kelbert

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

To assess the quality of a probabilistic prediction for stochastic dynamical systems (SDSs), scoring rules assign a numerical score based on the predictive distribution and the measured state. In this paper, we propose an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Tao Xu , Yushan Li , Jianping He

Calculations and mechanistic explanations for the probabilistic movement of objects at the highly relevant cm length scales has been lacking and overlooked due to the complexity of current techniques. Predicting the final-configuration…

Motivated by information geometry, a distance function on the space of stochastic matrices is advocated. Starting with sequences of Markov chains the Bhattacharyya angle is advocated as the natural tool for comparing both short and long…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Antony R. Lee , Peter Tino , Iain Bruce Styles

This chapter first presents a rather personal view of some different aspects of predictability, going in crescendo from simple linear systems to high-dimensional nonlinear systems with stochastic forcing, which exhibit emergent properties…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-08-26 Didier Sornette , Ivan Osorio

Domain theory has a long history of applications in theoretical computer science and mathematics. In this article, we explore the relation of domain theory to probability theory and stochastic processes. The goal is to establish a theory in…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Michael Mislove

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding the set of generalized means associated to a probability measure on a compact Riemannian manifold M and a continuous cost function on the product of M by itself. Generalized means include p-means…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

Consider a system performing a continuous-time random walk on the integers, subject to catastrophes occurring at constant rate, and followed by exponentially-distributed repair times. After any repair the system starts anew from state zero.…

Probabilistic frames are a generalization of finite frames into the Wasserstein space of probability measures with finite second moment. We introduce new probabilistic definitions of duality, analysis, and synthesis and investigate their…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Clare Wickman , Kasso Okoudjou

With increasing use of digital control it is natural to view control inputs and outputs as stochastic processes assuming values over finite alphabets rather than in a Euclidean space. As control over networks becomes increasingly common,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

Bulk-boundary correspondence is a fundamental principle in topological physics. In recent years, there have been considerable efforts in extending the idea of geometry and topology to classical stochastic systems far from equilibrium.…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2024-05-02 Taro Sawada , Kazuki Sone , Kazuki Yokomizo , Yuto Ashida , Takahiro Sagawa

Hybrid systems, and Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes in particular, are widely used to model and numerically study systems exhibiting multiple time scales in biochemical reaction kinetics and related areas. In this paper an almost…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Martin G. Riedler

We consider a particle moving in continuous time as a Markov jump process; its discrete chain is given by an ordinary random walk on ${\mathbb Z}^d$ , and its jump rate at $({\mathbf x},t)$ is given by a fixed function $\varphi$ of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pablo Almeida Gomes , Maicon Aparecido Pinheiro

We consider the safety evaluation of discrete time, stochastic systems over a finite horizon. Therefore, we discuss and link probabilistic invariance with reachability as well as reach-avoid problems. We show how to efficiently compute…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-17 Niklas Schmid , John Lygeros
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