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In this paper we present elementary computations for some Markov modulated counting processes, also called counting processes with regime switching. Regime switching has become an increasingly popular concept in many branches of science. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

The correlation between a random sequence and its transformed sequences is studied. In the case of a permutation operation or, in other word, the shuffling operation, it is shown that the correlation can be so small that the sequences can…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2015-06-25 Nobuyasu Ito , Macoto Kikuchi , Yutaka Okabe

The growing attention on cryptocurrencies has led to increasing research on digital stock markets. Approaches and tools usually applied to characterize standard stocks have been applied to the digital ones. Among these tools is the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-16 Tanya Araújo , Paulo Barbosa

We introduce a new class of stochastic processes which are stationary, Markovian and characterized by an infinite range of time-scales. By transforming the Fokker-Planck equation of the process into a Schrodinger equation with an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Fabrizio Lillo , Salvatore Micciche' , Rosario N. Mantegna

Conditionally Markov (CM) sequences are powerful mathematical tools for modeling random phenomena. There are several classes of CM sequences one of which is the reciprocal sequence. Reciprocal sequences have been widely used in many areas…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Reza Rezaie , X. Rong Li

In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

Motivated by multiple applications in social networks, nervous systems, and financial risk analysis, we consider the problem of learning the underlying (directed) influence graph or causal graph of a high-dimensional multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Smita Bagewadi , Avhishek Chatterjee

In this note, we present few examples of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes and their long time behavior. They share two important features: they are related to concrete models (in biology, networks, chemistry,. . .) and they are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Florent Malrieu

Correlation function and mutual information are two powerful tools to characterize the correlations in a quantum state of a composite system, widely used in many-body physics and in quantum information science, respectively. We find that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 R. X. Dong , D. L. Zhou

Interactive Markov chains (IMC) are compositional behavioural models extending labelled transition systems and continuous-time Markov chains. We provide a framework and algorithms for compositional verification and optimization of IMC with…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-12-05 Holger Hermanns , Jan Krčál , Jan Křetínský

RNA motifs typically consist of short, modular patterns that include base pairs formed within and between modules. Estimating the abundance of these patterns is of fundamental importance for assessing the statistical significance of matches…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Manuel Lladser , M. D. Betterton , Rob Knight

Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines, including finance. The transition densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available, especially for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Song X. Chen , Liang Peng , Cindy L. Yu

We compute the correlation functions mixing the powers of two non-commuting random matrices within the same trace. The angular part of the integration was partially known in the literature: we pursue the calculation and carry out the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 M. Bertola , B. Eynard

The conditionally Markov (CM) sequence contains different classes including Markov, reciprocal, and so-called $CM_L$ and $CM_F$ (two special classes of CM sequences). Each class has its own forward and backward dynamic models. The evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Reza Rezaie , X. Rong Li

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

To better understand the flows of ideas or information through social and biological systems, researchers develop maps that reveal important patterns in network flows. In practice, network flow models have implied memoryless first-order…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-28 Christian Persson , Ludvig Bohlin , Daniel Edler , Martin Rosvall

Determining the most appropriate features for machine learning predictive models is challenging regarding performance and feature acquisition costs. In particular, global feature choice is limited given that some features will only benefit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Gabriel Bernardino , Anders Jonsson , Patrick Clarysse , Nicolas Duchateau

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are learning methods for pattern recognition. The probabilistic HMMs have been one of the most used techniques based on the Bayesian model. First-order probabilistic HMMs were adapted to the theory of belief…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Jungyeul Park , Mouna Chebbah , Siwar Jendoubi , Arnaud Martin

We derive strong mixing conditions for many existing discrete-valued time series models that include exogenous covariates in the dynamic. Our main contribution is to study how a mixing condition on the covariate process transfers to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Lionel Truquet
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