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Related papers: Extreme times for volatility processes

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In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Archil Gulisashvili

We shortly review the statistical properties of the escape times, or hitting times, for stock price returns by using different models which describe the stock market evolution. We compare the probability function (PF) of these escape times…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Bernardo Spagnolo , Davide Valenti

Often sharp changes in cellular behavior are triggered by thresholded events, i.e., by the attainment of a threshold value of a relevant cellular or molecular dynamical variable. Since the governing variable itself typically undergoes noisy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-03 Srividya Iyer-Biswas , Anton Zilman

We explore first-passage phenomenology for biased active processes with a renewal-type structure, focusing in particular on paradigmatic run-and-tumble models in both discrete and continuous state spaces. In general, we show there is no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Yonathan Sarmiento , Benjamin Walter , Debraj Das , Samvit Mahapatra , Édgar Roldán , Rosemary J. Harris

For a one-dimensional Wiener process with stochastic resetting ${\cal X}(t)$, obtained from an underlying Wiener process $X(t),$ we study the statistical properties of its first-passage time through zero, when starting from $x>0,$ and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Mario Abundo

In this paper, we propose a new dynamical model to study the two-stage volatility evolution of stock market index after extreme events, and find that the volatility after extreme events follows a stretched exponential decay in the initial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-11 Mei-Ling Cai , Zhang-HangJian Chen , Sai-Ping Li , Xiong Xiong , Wei Zhang , Ming-Yuan Yang , Fei Ren

The time it takes the fastest searcher out of $N\gg1$ searchers to find a target determines the timescale of many physical, chemical, and biological processes. This time is called an extreme first passage time (FPT) and is typically much…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Sean D Lawley

This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Benjamin De Bruyne

In this thesis, we develop analytical methods to study out-of-equilibrium stochastic processes driven by colored noise, i.e., noise with temporal correlations. These non-Markovian processes pose significant analytical challenges compared to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-07 Mathis Guéneau

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

We consider the problem of estimating the mean entropy production rate in a nonequilibrium process from the measurements of first-passage quantities associated with a single current. For first-passage processes with large thresholds, Refs.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-05 Izaak Neri

Biological events are often initiated when a random "searcher" finds a "target," which is called a first passage time (FPT). In some biological systems involving multiple searchers, an important timescale is the time it takes the slowest…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-04-19 Sean D Lawley , Joshua Johnson

Let $X$ be a real valued L\'evy process that is in the domain of attraction of a stable law without centering with norming function $c.$ As an analogue of the random walk results in \cite{vw} and \cite{rad} we study the local behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-25 Ronald Doney , Victor Rivero

We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency when the data of interest are generated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Jürgen Schmiegel

The first-passage-time problem for a Brownian motion with alternating infinitesimal moments through a constant boundary is considered under the assumption that the time intervals between consecutive changes of these moments are described by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-28 A. Di Crescenzo , E. Di Nardo , L. M. Ricciardi

An intense research on financial market microstructure is presently in progress. Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are general models capable to capture the small-scale properties that high frequency data series show. The use of CTRW…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero , Jaume Masoliver

Stochastic restart may drastically reduce the expected run time of a computer algorithm, expedite the completion of a complex search process, or increase the turnover rate of an enzymatic reaction. These diverse first-passage-time (FPT)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-30 Shlomi Reuveni

A variational formula for the asymptotic variance of general Markov processes is obtained. As application, we get a upper bound of the mean exit time of reversible Markov processes, and some comparison theorems between the reversible and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao , Tao Wang

A fluctuation theorem is examined for the first-passage time of a biomolecular machine (e.g., a motor protein or an enzyme) in a nonequilibrium steady-state. For such machines in which the driven, observable process is coupled to a hidden…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 D. Evan Piephoff , Jianshu Cao

With nontrivial entropy production, first passage process is one of the most common nonequilibrium process in stochastic thermodynamics. Using one dimensional birth and death precess as a model framework, approximated expressions of mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Yunxin Zhang
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