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We introduce a model of proportional growth to explain the distribution of business firm growth rates. The model predicts that the distribution is exponential in the central part and depicts an asymptotic power-law behavior in the tails…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Dongfeng Fu , Fabio Pammolli , S. V. Buldyrev , Massimo Riccaboni , Kaushik Matia , Kazuko Yamasaki , H. E. Stanley

We present a preferential attachment growth model to obtain the distribution $P(K)$ of number of units $K$ in the classes which may represent business firms or other socio-economic entities. We found that $P(K)$ is described in its central…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 S. V. Buldyrev , F. Pammolli , M. Riccaboni , K. Yamasaki , D. Fu , K. Matia , H. E. Stanley

The key idea of this model is that firms are the result of an evolutionary process. Based on demand and supply considerations the evolutionary model presented here derives explicitly Gibrat's law of proportionate effects as the result of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Joachim Kaldasch

This paper investigates the statistical properties of within-country GDP and industrial production (IP) growth rate distributions. Many empirical contributions have recently pointed out that cross-section growth rates of firms, industries…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Giorgio Fagiolo , Mauro Napoletano , Andrea Roventini

We address the issue of the distribution of firm size. To this end we propose a model of firms in a closed, conserved economy populated with zero-intelligence agents who continuously move from one firm to another. We then analyze the size…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-12 Anindya S. Chakrabarti

We study size and growth distributions of products and business firms in the context of a given industry. Firm size growth is analyzed in terms of two basic mechanisms, i.e. the increase of the number of new elementary business units and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 G. De Fabritiis , F. Pammolli , M. Riccaboni

Complex systems can be characterized by classes of equivalency of their elements defined according to system specific rules. We propose a generalized preferential attachment model to describe the class size distribution. The model…

We introduce a simple agent-based model which allows us to analyze three stylized facts: a fat-tailed size distribution of companies, a `tent-shaped' growth rate distribution, the scaling relation of the growth rate variance with firm size,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-26 Cornelia Metzig , Mirta B. Gordon

The relationship between the size and the variance of firm growth rates is known to follow an approximate power-law behavior $\sigma(S) \sim S^{-\beta(S)}$ where $S$ is the firm size and $\beta(S)\approx 0.2$ is an exponent weakly dependent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Massimo Riccaboni , Fabio Pammolli , Sergey V. Buldyrev , Linda Ponta , H. Eugene Stanley

By employing exhaustive lists of large firms in European countries, we show that the upper-tail of the distribution of firm size can be fitted with a power-law (Pareto-Zipf law), and that in this region the growth rate of each firm is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Yoshi Fujiwara , Corrado Di Guilmi , Hideaki Aoyama , Mauro Gallegati , Wataru Souma

We determine the distribution of size and growthrates of German business firms in 1987-1997. We find a log-normal size distribution. The distribution of growth rates has fat tails. It can be fitted to an exponential in a narrow central…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Johannes Voit

We introduce a solvable model of randomly growing systems consisting of many independent subunits. Scaling relations and growth rate distributions in the limit of infinite subunits are analysed theoretically. Various types of scaling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Misako Takayasu , Hayafumi Watanabe , Hideki Takayasu

The distribution of firms' growth and firms' sizes is a topic under intense scrutiny. In this paper we show that a thermodynamic model based on the Maximum Entropy Principle, with dynamical prior information, can be constructed that…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-04-30 Eduardo Zambrano , Alberto Hernando , Aurelio Fernandez-Bariviera , Ricardo Hernando , Angelo Plastino

Models based on preferential attachment have had much success in reproducing the power law degree distributions which seem ubiquitous in both natural and engineered systems. Here, rather than assuming preferential attachment, we give an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 N. Berger , C. Borgs , J. T. Chayes , R. M. D'Souza , R. D. Kleinberg

We summarize a book under publication with his title written by the three present authors, on the theory of Zipf's law, and more generally of power laws, driven by the mechanism of proportional growth. The preprint is available upon request…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-26 A. Saichev , Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

The law of proportionate growth simply states that the time dependent change of a quantity $x$ is proportional to $x$. Its applicability to a wide range of dynamic phenomena is based on various assumptions for the proportionality factor,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-04 Frank Schweitzer

We introduce a family of one-dimensional geometric growth models, constructed iteratively by locally optimizing the tradeoffs between two competing metrics, and show that this family is equivalent to a family of preferential attachment…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 N. Berger , C. Borgs , J. T. Chayes , R. M. D'Souza , R. D. Kleinberg

Identifying the generating mechanism of a network is challenging as, more often than not, only snapshots are available, but not the full evolution. One candidate for the generating mechanism is preferential attachment which, in its simplest…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Thomas Boughen , Clement Lee , Vianey Palacios Ramirez

We review models of compositional growth, which were introduced to explain the growth statistics of various quantities ranging from firm sizes to GDP. In these models, entities are decomposed into units that grow independently. Thus, the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-12 José Moran , Massimo Riccaboni

In the preceding paper we presented empirical results describing the growth of publicly-traded United States manufacturing firms within the years 1974--1993. Our results suggest that the data can be described by a scaling approach. Here, we…

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