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The cumulant analysis plays an important role in non Gaussian distributed data analysis. The shares' prices returns are good example of such data. The purpose of this research is to develop the cumulant based algorithm and use it to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-23 Krzysztof Domino

Value-at-risk (VaR) has been playing the role of a standard risk measure since its introduction. In practice, the delta-normal approach is usually adopted to approximate the VaR of portfolios with option positions. Its effectiveness,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-22 Junyao Chen , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

Diversification of an investment into independently fluctuating assets reduces its risk. In reality, movement of assets are are mutually correlated and therefore knowledge of cross--correlations among asset price movements are of great…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 B. Rosenow , V. Plerou , P. Gopikrishnan , H. E. Stanley

Asset allocation (or portfolio management) is the task of determining how to optimally allocate funds of a finite budget into a range of financial instruments/assets such as stocks. This study investigated the performance of reinforcement…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Adebayo Oshingbesan , Eniola Ajiboye , Peruth Kamashazi , Timothy Mbaka

Online portfolio selection is an integral componentof wealth management. The fundamental undertaking is tomaximise returns while minimising risk given investor con-straints. We aim to examine and improve modern strategiesto generate higher…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Matthew Kruger , Terence L. van Zyl , Andrew Paskaramoorthy

The downside risk of a portfolio of (equity)assets is generally substantially higher than the downside risk of its components. In particular in times of crises when assets tend to have high correlation, the understanding of this difference…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Alex Langnau , Daniel Cangemi

In this article, inspired by Shi, et al. we investigate the optimal portfolio selection with one risk-free asset and one risky asset in a multiple period setting under cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Compared with their study, our novelty…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Liurui Deng , Traian A. Pirvu

Portfolio management issues have been extensively studied in the field of artificial intelligence in recent years, but existing deep learning-based quantitative trading methods have some areas where they could be improved. First of all, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Qishuo Cheng , Le Yang , Jiajian Zheng , Miao Tian , Duan Xin

Traditional portfolio management methods can incorporate specific investor preferences but rely on accurate forecasts of asset returns and covariances. Reinforcement learning (RL) methods do not rely on these explicit forecasts and are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-23 Ruan Pretorius , Terence van Zyl

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has been widely studied in the portfolio management task. However, it is challenging to understand a DRL-based trading strategy because of the black-box nature of deep neural networks. In this paper, we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-21 Mao Guan , Xiao-Yang Liu

According to recent findings [1,2], empirical covariance matrices deduced from financial return series contain such a high amount of noise that, apart from a few large eigenvalues and the corresponding eigenvectors, their structure can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

We introduce a covariance matrix estimator that both takes into account the heteroskedasticity of financial returns (by using an exponentially weighted moving average) and reduces the effective dimensionality of the estimation (and hence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Szilard Pafka , Marc Potters , Imre Kondor

Based on a rough path foundation, we develop a model-free approach to stochastic portfolio theory (SPT). Our approach allows to handle significantly more general portfolios compared to previous model-free approaches based on F{\"o}llmer…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Andrew L. Allan , Christa Cuchiero , Chong Liu , David J. Prömel

We derive a closed-form expression capturing the degree of Relative Risk Aversion (RRA) of investors for non-"fair" lotteries. We argue that our formula is superior to earlier methods that have been proposed, as it is a function of only…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-10 George Samartzis , Nikitas Pittis

When it comes to stock returns, any form of predictability can bolster risk-adjusted profitability. We develop a collaborative machine learning algorithm that optimizes portfolio weights so that the resulting synthetic security is maximally…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-08 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Maximilian Goebel

The development of reinforced learning methods has extended application to many areas including algorithmic trading. In this paper trading on the stock exchange is interpreted into a game with a Markov property consisting of states,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-28 Evgeny Ponomarev , Ivan Oseledets , Andrzej Cichocki

Item Response Theory (IRT) has been proposed within the field of Educational Psychometrics to assess student ability as well as test question difficulty and discrimination power. More recently, IRT has been applied to evaluate machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-01 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Kate Smith-Miles

In the practical business of asset management by investment trusts and the like, the general practice is to manage over the medium to long term owing to the burden of operations and increase in transaction costs with the increase in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-31 Kazuki Amagai , Tomoya Suzuki

We consider an investor, whose portfolio consists of a single risky asset and a risk free asset, who wants to maximize his expected utility of the portfolio subject to the Value at Risk assuming a heavy tail distribution of the stock prices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-02 Subhojit Biswas , Diganta Mukherjee

In this paper, we obtain a property of the expectation of the inverse of compound Wishart matrices which results from their orthogonal invariance. Using this property as well as results from random matrix theory (RMT), we derive the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-25 Benoît Collins , David McDonald , Nadia Saad
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