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A computational technique borrowed from the physical sciences is introduced to obtain accurate closed-form approximations for the transition probability of arbitrary diffusion processes. Within the path integral framework the same technique…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

An innovative method is proposed to construct a quantile dependence system for inflation and money growth. By considering all quantiles and leveraging a novel notion of quantile sensitivity, the method allows the assessment of changes in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-20 Matteo Iacopini , Aubrey Poon , Luca Rossini , Dan Zhu

This paper explores the possibility that asset prices, especially those traded in large volume on public exchanges, might comply with specific physical laws of motion and probability. The paper first examines the basic dynamics of asset…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 J. T. Manhire

We construct a sequence of functions that uniformly converge (on compact sets) to the price of Asian option, which is written on a stock whose dynamics follows a jump diffusion, exponentially fast. Each of the element in this sequence…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-10-29 Erhan Bayraktar , Hao Xing

We consider the discrete time unitary dynamics given by a quantum walk on the lattice $\Z^d$ performed by a quantum particle with internal degree of freedom, called coin state, according to the following iterated rule: a unitary update of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Alain Joye

Detection of power-law behavior and studies of scaling exponents uncover the characteristics of complexity in many real world phenomena. The complexity of financial markets has always presented challenging issues and provided interesting…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Stjepan Begušić , Zvonko Kostanjčar , H. Eugene Stanley , Boris Podobnik

Financial price changes obey two universal properties: they follow a power law and they tend to be clustered in time. The second regularity, known as volatility clustering, entails some predictability in the price changes: while their sign…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-02 Sabiou Inoua

We present an agent behavior based microscopic model that induces jumps, spikes and high volatility phases in the price process of a traded asset. We transfer dynamics of thermally activated jumps of an unexcited/ excited two state system…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-01 Christof Henkel

Presented is an analytic microeconomic model of the temporal price dispersion of homogeneous goods in polypoly markets. This new approach is based on the idea that the price dispersion has its origin in the dynamics of the purchase process.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-04 Joachim Kaldasch

In the Cont-Bouchaud model [cond-mat/9712318] of stock markets, percolation clusters act as buying or selling investors and their statistics controls that of the price variations. Rather than fixing the concentration controlling each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dietrich Stauffer , D. Sornette

We analyze random walk through fractal environments, embedded in 3-dimensional, permeable space. Particles travel freely and are scattered off into random directions when they hit the fractal. The statistical distribution of the flight…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 H. Isliker , L. Vlahos

The two phase behavior in financial markets actually means the bifurcation phenomenon, which represents the change of the conditional probability from an unimodal to a bimodal distribution. In this paper, the bifurcation phenomenon in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Shi-Mei Jiang , Shi-Min Cai , Tao Zhou , Pei-Ling Zhou

Two kinetic exchange models are proposed to explore the dynamics of closed economic markets characterized by random exchanges, saving propensities, and collective transactions. Model I simulates a system where individual transactions occur…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2025-02-20 Chuandong Lin , Lijie Cui

We study the diffusion of shocks in the global financial cycle and global liquidity conditions to emerging and developing economies. We show that the classification according to their external trade patterns (as commodities' net exporters…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-09 Jorge Carrera , Gabriel Montes-Rojas , Fernando Toledo

Most energy and commodity markets exhibit mean-reversion and occasional distinctive price spikes, which results in demand for derivative products which protect the holder against high prices. To this end, in this paper we present exact and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-23 Nicola Cufaro Petroni , Piergiacomo Sabino

This paper concerns the propagation of particles through a quenched random medium. In the one- and two-dimensional models considered, the local dynamics is given by expanding circle maps and hyperbolic toral automorphisms, respectively. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-10-18 Tapio Simula , Mikko Stenlund

During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying

We study in this paper the time evolution of stock markets using a statistical physics approach. Each agent is represented by a spin having a number of discrete states $q$ or continuous states, describing the tendency of the agent for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-09 Hung T. Diep , Gabriel Desgranges

In this paper we test the random walk hypothesis on the high frequency dataset of the bid--ask Deutschemark/US dollar exchange rate quotes registered by the inter-bank Reuters network over the period October 1, 1992 to September 30, 1993.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Baviera , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani

We propose a novel kinetic exchange model differing from previous ones in two main aspects. First, the basic dynamics is modified in order to represent economies where immediate wealth exchanges are carried out, instead of reshufflings or…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-07 Els Heinsalu , Marco Patriarca
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