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Power-law fluctuation in observed Internet packet flow are discussed. The data is obtained by a multi router traffic grapher (MRTG) system for 9 months. The internet packet flow is analyzed using the detrended fluctuation analysis. By…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-12 Shin-ichi Tadaki

We study the statistical properties of volatility---a measure of how much the market is likely to fluctuate. We estimate the volatility by the local average of the absolute price changes. We analyze (a) the S&P 500 stock index for the…

We propose a novel model, the Hyped Log-Periodic Power Law Model (HLPPL), to the problem of quantifying and detecting financial bubbles, an ever-fascinating one for academics and practitioners alike. Bubble labels are generated using a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Zheng Cao , Xingran Shao , Yuheng Yan , Helyette Geman

By analyzing a large data set of daily returns with data clustering technique, we identify economic sectors as clusters of assets with a similar economic dynamics. The sector size distribution follows Zipf's law. Secondly, we find that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Matteo Marsili

Diffusion processes driven by Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) have often been considered in modeling stock price dynamics in order to capture the long range dependence of stock price observed in reality. Option prices for such models had…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Ananya Lahiri , Rituparna Sen

Statistical analysis of financial data most focused on testing the validity of Brownian motion (Bm). Analysis performed on several time series have shown deviation from the Bm hypothesis, that is at the base of the evaluation of many…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Filippo Petroni , Giulia Rotundo

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

The functioning of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin relies on the open availability of the entire history of its transactions. This makes it a particularly interesting socio-economic system to analyse from the point of view of network science.…

We report a general technique to study a given experimental time series with superstatistics. Crucial for the applicability of the superstatistics concept is the existence of a parameter $\beta$ that fluctuates on a large time scale as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Erik Van der Straeten , Christian Beck

We measure the influence of different time-scales on the dynamics of financial market data. This is obtained by decomposing financial time series into simple oscillations associated with distinct time-scales. We propose two new time-varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-23 Noemi Nava , Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Prices in financial markets exhibit extreme jumps far more often than can be accounted for by external news. Further, magnitudes of price changes are correlated over long times. These so called stylized facts are quantified by scaling laws…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-04 Felix Patzelt , Klaus Pawelzik

Scaling properties in financial fluctuations are reviewed from the standpoint of statistical physics. We firstly show theoretically that the balance of demand and supply enhances fluctuations due to the underlying phase transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 H. Takayasu , M. Takayasu , M. P. Okazaki , K. Marumo , T. Shimizu

We propose that large stock market crashes are analogous to critical points studied in statistical physics with log-periodic correction to scaling. We extend our previous renormalization group model of stock market prices prior to and after…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Didier Sornette , Anders Johansen

Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-04 Longfeng Zhao , Gang-Jin Wang , Mingang Wang , Weiqi Bao , Wei Li , H. Eugene Stanley

By investigating nonfungible tokens (NFTs), we provide the first systematic study of retail investor behavior through asset bubbles. Given that NFTs are recorded in public blockchains, we are able to track investor behavior over time,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-13 Andrea Barbon , Angelo Ranaldo

Price fluctuations in financial markets can be characterized by L\'evy's stable distribution, which is supported by the generalized central limit system. When the stable parameters were estimated from four different stock markets in long…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-21 Takumi Fukunaga , Ken Umeno

Using frequency distributions of daily closing price time series of several financial market indexes, we investigate whether the bias away from an equiprobable sequence distribution found in the data, predicted by algorithmic information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-17 Hector Zenil , Jean-Paul Delahaye

The volatility of financial instruments is rarely constant, and usually varies over time. This creates a phenomenon called volatility clustering, where large price movements on one day are followed by similarly large movements on successive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-08 Gordon J. Ross

Motivated by empirical observations on the interplay of trends and reversion, a lattice gas model of financial markets is presented. The shares of an asset are modeled by gas molecules that are distributed across a hidden social network of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-02 Christof Schmidhuber

Firms having similar business activities are correlated. We analyze two different cross-correlation matrices C constructed from (i) 30-min price fluctuations of 1000 US stocks for the 2-year period 1994-95 and (ii) 1-day price fluctuations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Parameswaran Gopikrishnan , Bernd Rosenow , Vasiliki Plerou , H. Eugene Stanley
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