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This article proposes a fundamental methodological shift in the modelling of policy interventions for sustainability transitions in order to account for complexity (e.g. self-reinforcing mechanism arising from multi-agent interactions) and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 J. -F. Mercure , H. Pollitt , A. M. Bassi , J. E Viñuales , N. R. Edwards

In this short paper, we define the investment ability of data investors in the data economy and its heterogeneity. We further construct an analytical heterogeneous agent model to demonstrate that differences in data investment ability lead…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-12 Yongheng Hu

Herding, where investors imitate others' decisions rather than relying on their own analysis, is a prevalent phenomenon in financial markets. Excessive herding distorts rational decisions, amplifies volatility, and can be exploited by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Huisheng Wang , H. Vicky Zhao

We describe a simple model for speculative trading based on adaptive behavior of economic agents.The adaptive behavior is expressed through a feedback mechanism for changing agents' stock-to-bond ratios, depending on the past performance of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-26 Misha Perepelitsa

The Hegselmann-Krause (HK) model allows one to characterize the continuous change of agents' opinions with the bounded confidence threshold $\varepsilon$. To consider the heterogeneity of agents in characteristics, we study the HK model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Yueying Zhu , Jian Jiang , Wei Li

We discuss a method for predicting financial movements and finding pockets of predictability in the price-series, which is built around inferring the heterogeneity of trading strategies in a multi-agent trader population. This work explores…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Nachi Gupta , Raphael Hauser , Neil F. Johnson

We present an agent based model of a single asset financial market that is capable of replicating several non-trivial statistical properties observed in real financial markets, generically referred to as stylized facts. While previous…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Roberto Mota Navarro , Hernán Larralde Ridaura

An agent-based modelling methodology for the joint price evolution of two stocks is put forward. The method models future multidimensional price trajectories reflecting how a class of agents rebalance their portfolios in an operational way…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Dario Crisci , Sebastian E. Ferrando , Konrad Gajewski

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

A growing part of the behavioral finance literature has addressed some of the stylized facts of financial time series as macroscopic patterns emerging from herding interactions among groups of agents with heterogeneous trading strategies…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

We present an extensive study of the joint effects of heterogeneous social agents and their heterogeneous social links in a bounded confidence opinion dynamics model. The full phase diagram of the model is explored for two different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-24 Rémi Perrier , Hendrik Schawe , Laura Hernández

A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time $t$, an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time $t-1$ to its own trading volume at its last trade.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-03 F. Ren , B. Zheng , P. Chen

We derive a system of stochastic differential equations simulating the dynamics of the three agent groups with herding interaction. Proposed approach can be valuable in the modeling of the complex socio-economic systems with similar…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-17 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

In market modeling, one often treats buyers as a homogeneous group. In this paper we consider buyers with heterogeneous preferences and products available in many variants. Such a framework allows us to successfully model various market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-06 Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

The steady-state and nonequilibrium properties of the model of environmental-economic interactions are studied. The interacting heterogeneous agents are simulated on the platform of the emission dynamics of cellular automaton. The model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Z. Kuscsik , D. Horvath , M. Gmitra

Building on a prominent agent-based model, we present a new structural stochastic volatility asset pricing model of fundamentalists vs. chartists where the prices are determined based on excess demand. Specifically, this allows for…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-02 Radu T. Pruna , Maria Polukarov , Nicholas R. Jennings

Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

We present examples of agent-based and stochastic models of competition and business processes in economics and finance. We start from as simple as possible models, which have microscopic, agent-based, versions and macroscopic treatment in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-31 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis , Valentas Daniunas

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

In the present paper a model of a market consisting of real and financial interacting sectors is studied. Agents populating the stock market are assumed to be not able to observe the true underlying fundamental, and their beliefs are biased…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Fausto Cavalli , Ahmad Naimzada , Nicolò Pecora , Marina Pireddu