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Since its introduction, some sixty years ago, the Montroll-Weiss continuous time random walk has found numerous applications due its ease of use and ability to describe both regular and anomalous diffusion. Yet, despite its broad…
Portfolio selection in the periodic investment of securities modeled by a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps is considered. The optimization framework is designed to maximize expected terminal wealth when portfolio risk is…
Annual maximum temperature data provides crucial insights into the impacts of climate change, especially for regions like India, where temperature variations have significant implications for agriculture, health, and infrastructure. In this…
In this paper we study continuous time random walks (CTRWs) such that the holding time in each state has a distribution depending on the state itself. For such processes, we provide integro-differential (backward and forward) equations of…
Random walks are a fundamental tool for analyzing realistic complex networked systems and implementing randomized algorithms to solve diverse problems such as searching and sampling. For many real applications, their actual effect and…
We introduce weighted Markovian graphs, a random walk model that decouples the transition dynamics of a Markov chain from (random) edge weights representing the cost of traversing each edge. This decoupling allows us to study the…
In clinical follow-up studies with a time-to-event end point, the difference in the restricted mean survival time (RMST) is a suitable substitute for the hazard ratio (HR). However, the RMST only measures the survival of patients over a…
Many stochastic time series can be modelled by discrete random walks in which a step of random sign but constant length $\delta x$ is performed after each time interval $\delta t$. In correlated discrete time random walks (CDTRWs), the…
The paper considers excited random walks (ERWs) on integers in i.i.d. environments with a bounded number of excitations per site. The emphasis is primarily on the critical case for the transition between recurrence and transience which…
We complement the theory of tick-by-tick dynamics of financial markets based on a Continuous-Time Random Walk (CTRW) model recently proposed by Scalas et al., and we point out its consistency with the behaviour observed in the waiting-time…
Systemic risk measures have been shown to be predictive of financial crises and declines in real activity. Thus, forecasting them is of major importance in finance and economics. In this paper, we propose a new forecasting method for…
Rare events in molecular dynamics are often related to noise-induced transitions between different macroscopic states (e.g., in protein folding). A common feature of these rare transitions is that they happen on timescales that are on…
In this paper we study the metastable behavior of one of the simplest disordered spin system, the random field Curie-Weiss model. We will show how the potential theoretic approach can be used to prove sharp estimates on capacities and…
It is well known that the weak limit of a suitably scaled continuous-time random walk (CTRW) is the Brownian motion. We investigate the convergence of certain patterned random matrices whose entries are independent CTRWs and their…
Prudent management of insurance investment portfolios requires competent asset pricing of fixed-income assets with time-to-event contingent cash flows, such as consumer asset-backed securities (ABS). Current market pricing techniques for…
Background: This study is mainly motivated by the need of understanding how the diffusion behaviour of a biomolecule (or even of a larger object) is affected by other moving macromolecules, organelles, and so on, inside a living cell,…
We consider a model of surface-mediated diffusion with alternating phases of pure bulk and surface diffusion. For this process, we compute the mean exit time from a disk through a hole on the circle. We develop a spectral approach to this…
An analytic effective medium theory is constructed to study the mean access times for random walks on hybrid disordered structures formed by embedding complex networks into regular lattices, considering transition rates $F$ that are…
This article introduces the class of periodic trawl processes, which are continuous-time, infinitely divisible, stationary stochastic processes, that allow for periodicity and flexible forms of their serial correlation, including both…
To improve the efficient frontier of the classical mean-variance model in continuous time, we propose a varying terminal time mean-variance model with a constraint on the mean value of the portfolio asset, which moves with the varying…