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The distribution of the return intervals $\tau$ between volatilities above a threshold $q$ for financial records has been approximated by a scaling behavior. To explore how accurate is the scaling and therefore understand the underlined…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-02 Fengzhong Wang , Kazuko Yamasaki , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

We present a framework for describing the evolution of stochastic observables having a non-stationary distribution of values. The framework is applied to empirical volume-prices from assets traded at the New York stock exchange. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-18 Paulo Rocha , Frank Raischel , João P. Boto , Pedro G. Lind

The distribution of intertrade durations, defined as the waiting times between two consecutive transactions, is investigated based upon the limit order book data of 23 liquid Chinese stocks listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in the whole…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei Chen , Wei-Xing Zhou

The main focus of this work is to understand the dynamics of non regulated markets. The present model can describe the dynamics of any market where the pricing is based on supply and demand. It will be applied here, as an example, for the…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Andreas Schaale

Several works have observed heavy-tailed behavior in the distributions of returns in different markets, which are observable indicators of underlying complex dynamics. Such prior works study return distributions that are marginalized across…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-11 Hideyuki Miyahara , Hai Qian , Pavan Holur , Vwani Roychowdhury

Stock market indices are one of the most investigated complex systems in econophysics. Here we extend the existing literature on stock markets in connection with nonextensive statistical mechanics. We explore the nonextensivity of price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-01 Dusan Stosic , Darko Stosic , Tatijana Stosic

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday return are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov process and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-24 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

We study dynamical behavior of the Chinese stock markets by investigating the statistical properties of daily ensemble returns and varieties defined respectively as the mean and the standard deviation of the ensemble daily price returns of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Gao-Feng Gu , Wei-Xing Zhou

Detection of power-law behavior and studies of scaling exponents uncover the characteristics of complexity in many real world phenomena. The complexity of financial markets has always presented challenging issues and provided interesting…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Stjepan Begušić , Zvonko Kostanjčar , H. Eugene Stanley , Boris Podobnik

We develop a novel observation-driven model for high-frequency prices. We account for irregularly spaced observations, simultaneous transactions, discreteness of prices, and market microstructure noise. The relation between trade durations…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-09 Vladimír Holý

We analyze the Standard & Poor's 500 stock market index from the last 22 years. The probability density function of price returns exhibits two well-distinguished regimes with self-similar structure: the first one displays strong…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-28 Alonso-Marroquin Fernando , Arias-Calluari Karina , Harre Michael , Najafi Morteza N. , Herrmann Hans J

We investigate the large-volatility dynamics in financial markets, based on the minute-to-minute and daily data of the Chinese Indices and German DAX. The dynamic relaxation both before and after large volatilities is characterized by a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-28 X. F. Jiang , B. Zheng , J. Shen

We study the non-Gaussian tail of the curvature fluctuation, $\zeta$, in an inflationary scenario with a transient ultra slow-roll phase that generates a localized large enhancement of the spectrum of $\zeta$. To do so, we implement a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-08 Guillermo Ballesteros , Jesús Gambín Egea , Thomas Konstandin , Alejandro Pérez Rodríguez , Mathias Pierre , Julián Rey

Volatility of intra-day stock market indices computed at various time horizons exhibits a scaling behaviour that differs from what would be expected from fractional Brownian motion (fBm). We investigate this anomalous scaling by using…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-17 Noemi Nava , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

We establish several new stylised facts concerning the intra-day seasonalities of stock dynamics. Beyond the well known U-shaped pattern of the volatility, we find that the average correlation between stocks increases throughout the day,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-29 Romain Allez , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We analyse a period spanning 35 years of activity in the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange Index (IBOVESPA) and show that the Heston model with stochastic volatility is capable of explaining price fluctuations for time scales ranging from 5 minutes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Renato Vicente , Charles M. de Toledo , Vitor B. P. Leite , Nestor Caticha

Standard quantitative models of the stock market predict a log-normal distribution for stock returns (Bachelier 1900, Osborne 1959), but it is recognised (Fama 1965) that empirical data, in comparison with a Gaussian, exhibit leptokurtosis…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Gilles Daniel

Complex systems comprise a large number of interacting elements, whose dynamics is not always a priori known. In these cases -- in order to uncover their key features -- we have to turn to empirical methods, one of which was recently…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Janos Kertesz , Zoltan Eisler

The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 A. L. Alejandro-Quinones , K. E. Bassler , M. Field , J. L. McCauley , M. Nicol , I. Timofeyef , A. Torok , G. H. Gunaratne

We examine the question of whether the formal expressions of equilibrium statistical mechanics can be applied to time independent non-dissipative systems that are not in true thermodynamic equilibrium and are nonergodic. By assuming the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-09 Stephen R. Williams , Denis J. Evans