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The cluster analysis methods are used in order to perform a comparative study of 15 EU countries in relation with the fluctuations of some basic macroeconomic indicators. The statistical distances between countries are calculated for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-16 Mircea Gligor , Marcel Ausloos

The statistical distances between countries, calculated for various moving average time windows, are mapped into the ultrametric subdominant space as in classical Minimal Spanning Tree methods. The Moving Average Minimal Length Path (MAMLP)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 M. Gligor , M. Ausloos

GDP/capita correlations are investigated in various time windows (TW), for the time interval 1990-2005. The target group of countries is the set of 25 EU members, 15 till 2004 plus the 10 countries which joined EU later on. The TW-means of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-03-16 Mircea Gligor , Marcel Ausloos

We investigate hierarchical structures of the European countries by using debt as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the countries as they change over a certain period of time. We obtain the topological properties among the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Ersin Kantar , Bayram Deviren , Mustafa Keskin

We follow up on the study of correlations between GDP's of rich countries. We analyze web-downloaded data on GDP that we use as individual wealth signatures of the country economical state. We calculate the yearly fluctuations of the GDP.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 M. Ausloos , R. Lambiotte

Different distance matrices are defined and applied to look for correlations between the gross domestic product of G7 countries. Results are illustrated through displays obtained from various graph methods. Significant similarities between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-10-03 Janusz Miskiewicz , Marcel Ausloos

The evolution of many stochastic systems is accurately described by random walks on graphs. We here explore the close connection between local steady-state fluctuations of random walks and the global structure of the underlying graph.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-25 M. Bruderer

Economy correlations between the 19 richest countries are investigated through their Gross Domestic Product increments. A distance is defined between increment correlation matrix elements and their evolution studied as a function of time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-03 Janusz Miskiewicz , Marcel Ausloos

The correlation between G7 countries has been analysed on the basis of Gross Domestic Product using different distance functions i.e. discrete, linear correlation and distribution distance. The distance matrics is analysed by various graph…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-10-03 J. Miśkiewicz , M. Ausloos

The aim of the present article is to offer a strictly mathematical, statistical treatment of the current account balances in EU and in the Eurozone. Based on Eurostat data, an overview of the total and annual balances is first made for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-26 Dimitris Sardelis

The Cluster Variation Method known in statistical mechanics and condensed matter is revived for weighted bipartite networks. The decomposition of a Hamiltonian through a finite number of components, whence serving to define variable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-03-16 Marcel Ausloos , Mircea Gligor

This paper elaborates on the sectoral-regional view of the business cycle synchronization in the EU -- a necessary condition for the optimal currency area. We argue that complete and tidy clustering of the data improves the decision maker's…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-12 Saulius Jokubaitis , Dmitrij Celov

We investigate the hierarchical structures of countries based on electricity consumption and economic growth by using the real amounts of their consumption over a certain time period. We use of electricity consumption data to detect the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-30 Ersin Kantar , Alper Aslan , Bayram Deviren , Mustafa Keskin

Most of the analytical techniques used in the business cycle synchronisation literature rely upon the estimation of an empirical correlation matrix of time series data of macroeconomic aggregates, real GDP usually being the key variable.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Paul Ormerod

Population decline is projected to become widespread in Europe, with the continental population set to reverse its longstanding trajectory of growth within the next five years. This represents unfamiliar demographic territory. Despite this,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-11 Niall Newsham , Francisco Rowe

We analyze the fluctuations in the gross domestic product (GDP) of 152 countries for the period 1950--1992. We find that (i) the distribution of annual growth rates for countries of a given GDP decays with ``fatter'' tails than for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Youngki Lee , Luis A. N. Amaral , David Canning , Martin Meyer , H. Eugene Stanley

We study the ever more integrated and ever more unbalanced trade relationships between European countries. To better capture the complexity of economic networks, we propose two global measures that assess the trade integration and the trade…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-05 Gautier M. Krings , Jean-François Carpantier , Jean-Charles Delvenne

The degree of convergence of the business cycles of the economies of the European Union is a key policy issue. In particular, a substantial degree of convergence is needed if the European Central Bank is to be capable of setting a monetary…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 P Ormerod , C Mounfield

The article investigates the properties of the occupational mobility network (OMN) in 12 EU countries. Using REFLEX database we construct for each country an empirical OMN that reflects the job movements of the university graduates, during…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-25 Eliza-Olivia Lungu , Ana-Maria Zamfir , Cristina Mocanu

Understanding and modeling the dynamics of pedestrian crowds can help with designing and increasing the safety of civil facilities. A key feature of crowds is its intrinsic stochasticity, appearing even under very diluted conditions, due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-22 Alessandro Corbetta , Chung-min Lee , Roberto Benzi , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi
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