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In this paper we propose a new stochastic model based on a generalization of semi-Markov chains to study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks. We assume that the financial returns are described by a weighted indexed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

As a forward-looking measure of future equity market volatility, the VIX index has gained immense popularity in recent years to become a key measure of risk for market analysts and academics. We consider discrete reported intraday VIX tick…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-04 Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang , Fearghal Kearney

According to the leading models in modern finance, the presence of intraday lead-lag relationships between financial assets is negligible in efficient markets. With the advance of technology, however, markets have become more sophisticated.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-03 Chester Curme , Michele Tumminello , Rosario N. Mantegna , H. Eugene Stanley , Dror Y. Kenett

We compare systematically several classes of stochastic volatility models of stock market fluctuations. We show that the long-time return distribution is either Gaussian or develops a power-law tail, while the short-time return distribution…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-15 Frantisek Slanina

It is well known that there exist statistical and structural differences between the stock markets of developed and emerging countries. In this work, we present an analysis of the variations and autocorrelations of the Mexican Stock Market…

Time-varying volatility is an inherent feature of most economic time-series, which causes standard correlation estimators to be inconsistent. The quadrant correlation estimator is consistent but very inefficient. We propose a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-01 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Yiyao Luo

We construct a correlation matrix based financial network for a set of New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) traded stocks with stocks corresponding to nodes and the links between them added one after the other, according to the strength of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Tibely , J. -P. Onnela , J. Saramaki , K. Kaski , J. Kertesz

We study the price dynamics of stocks traded in a financial market by considering the statistical properties both of a single time series and of an ensemble of stocks traded simultaneously. We use the $n$ stocks traded in the New York Stock…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

We analyzed cross-correlations between price fluctuations of global financial indices (20 daily stock indices over the world) and local indices (daily indices of 200 companies in the Korean stock market) by using random matrix theory (RMT).…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Ashadun Nobi , Seong Eun Maeng , Gyeong Gyun Ha , Jae Woo Lee

We study the volatility of the MIB30-stock-index high-frequency data from November 28, 1994 through September 15, 1995. Our aim is to empirically characterize the volatility random walk in the framework of continuous-time finance. To this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Marco Raberto , Enrico Scalas , Gianaurelio Cuniberti , Massimo Riani

We identify a robust structural signature of stock markets during exogenous shock events by analyzing collective return dynamics across G5 countries. Using Random Matrix Theory, we introduce the complexity gap, defined as the difference…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Kundan Mukhia , Imran Ansari , Md. Nurujjaman

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday returns are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov which depends also…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Large and stable indices of the world wide stock markets such as NYSE and SP 500 together with NASDAQ -- the index representing markets of new trends, and WIG -- the index of the local stock market of Eastern Europe, are considered. Due to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Danuta Makowiec

Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns is crucial to portfolio construction. As suggested by economic theories, the correlation structure among assets differs between emerging markets and developed countries. It is therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Xin Chen , Dan Yang , Yan Xu , Yin Xia , Dong Wang , Haipeng Shen

We propose a novel approach that allows to calculate Hilbert transform based complex correlation for unevenly spaced data. This method is especially suitable for high frequency trading data, which are of a particular interest in finance.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-14 Mateusz Wilinski , Yuichi Ikeda , Hideaki Aoyama

In this paper, we study the periodic fluctuations of connectivity density time series of a wind speed-monitoring network in Switzerland. By using the correlogram-based robust periodogram annual periodic oscillations were found in the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-17 Mohamed Laib , Luciano Telesca , Mikhail Kanevski

We present a phenomenological study of stock price fluctuations of individual companies. We systematically analyze two different databases covering securities from the three major US stock markets: (a) the New York Stock Exchange, (b) the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 V. Plerou , P. Gopikrishnan , L. A. N. Amaral , M. Meyer , H. E. Stanley

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

The properties of q-dependent cross-correlation matrices of stock market have been analyzed by using the random matrix theory and complex network. The correlation structures of the fluctuations at different magnitudes have unique…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-14 Longfeng Zhao , Wei Li , Andrea Fenu , Boris Podobnik , Yougui Wang , H. Eugene Stanley

This paper tends to define the quantitative relationship between the stock price and time as a time function. Based on the empirical evidence that the log-return of a stock is the series of white noise, a mathematical model of the integral…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-22 Shengfeng Mei , Hong Gao