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This note outlines a method for clustering time series based on a statistical model in which volatility shifts at unobserved change-points. The model accommodates some classical stylized features of returns and its relation to GARCH is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-26 Nick Whiteley

This paper provides an empirical study explores the application of deep learning algorithms-Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Transformer-in constructing long-short stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Junjie Guo

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

Using an artificial neural network (ANN), a fixed universe of approximately 1500 equities from the Value Line index are rank-ordered by their predicted price changes over the next quarter. Inputs to the network consist only of the ten prior…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 J. B. Satinover , D. Sornette

In this brief review, we critically examine the recent work done on correlation-based networks in financial systems. The structure of empirical correlation matrices constructed from the financial market data changes as the individual stock…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-21 Vishwas Kukreti , Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Priya Gupta , Sunil Kumar

We follow up on the study of correlations between GDP's of rich countries. We analyze web-downloaded data on GDP that we use as individual wealth signatures of the country economical state. We calculate the yearly fluctuations of the GDP.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 M. Ausloos , R. Lambiotte

Portfolio management is an essential part of investment decision-making. However, traditional methods often fail to deliver reasonable performance. This problem stems from the inability of these methods to account for the unique…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-17 Petr Sokerin , Kristian Kuznetsov , Elizaveta Makhneva , Alexey Zaytsev

Interest in the analysis of networks has grown rapidly in the new millennium. Consequently, we promote renewed attention to a certain methodological approach introduced in 1974. Over the succeeding decade, this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-03 Paul B. Slater

We investigate the recently introduced variety of a set of stock returns traded in a financial market. This investigation is done by considering daily and intraday time horizons in a 15-day time period centered at the August 31st, 1998…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , Giovanni Bonanno , Rosario N. Mantegna

For a long investment time horizon, it is preferable to rebalance the portfolio weights at intermediate times. This necessitates a multi-period market model in which portfolio optimization is usually done through dynamic programming.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Shubhangi Sikaria , Rituparna Sen , Neelesh S. Upadhye

We study the statistical properties of the sampled scale-free networks, deeply related to the proper identification of various real-world networks. We exploit three methods of sampling and investigate the topological properties such as…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-24 Sang Hoon Lee , Pan-Jun Kim , Hawoong Jeong

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

In a highly interdependent economic world, the nature of relationships between financial entities is becoming an increasingly important area of study. Recently, many studies have shown the usefulness of minimal spanning trees (MST) in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-19 Zeyu Zheng , Kazuko Yamasaki , Joel N. Tenenbaum , H. Eugene Stanley

The aim of this article is to briefly review and make new studies of correlations and co-movements of stocks, so as to understand the "seasonalities" and market evolution. Using the intraday data of the CAC40, we begin by reasserting the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Gayatri Tilak , Tamas Szell , Remy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

We use statistically validated networks, a recently introduced method to validate links in a bipartite system, to identify clusters of investors trading in a financial market. Specifically, we investigate a special database allowing to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Jyrki Piilo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Text-based financial networks are increasingly used to study cross-stock return predictability. A common approach constructs links from similarities in firms' disclosure embeddings, but such networks often contain spurious edges because…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Yikuan Huang , Zheqi Fan , Kaiqi Hu , Yifan Ye

The dynamics of prices in financial markets has been studied intensively both experimentally (data analysis) and theoretically (models). Nevertheless, a complete stochastic characterization of volatility is still lacking. What it is well…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

We propose improved methods to identify stock groups using the correlation matrix of stock price changes. By filtering out the marketwide effect and the random noise, we construct the correlation matrix of stock groups in which nontrivial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Dong-Hee Kim , Hawoong Jeong

This paper introduces a novel approach to stock data analysis by employing a Hierarchical Graph Neural Network (HGNN) model that captures multi-level information and relational structures in the stock market. The HGNN model integrates stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jianhua Yao , Yuxin Dong , Jiajing Wang , Bingxing Wang , Hongye Zheng , Honglin Qin

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert